Polymarket Trader

Staspy

0x0ae516872851fdb06c5edb45535667e3a06e71ad

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $184.44
Realized PnL: $284.31
Win rate: 81.3%
Open positions: 14
Closed positions: 16
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 23.5%
Current value: $176.25
Potential payout: $750
Potential profit: $573.75
Multiplier: 4.26x
User PnL: -$63.75

Yes position

Crude Oil all time high by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $416.67
Potential profit: $416.67
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 3.3%
Current value: $8.19
Potential payout: $252.1
Potential profit: $243.91
Multiplier: 30.77x
User PnL: -$21.81

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$30

Andrey Rublev position

Barcelona Open: Andrey Rublev vs Arthur Fils

Ends Apr 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $148.47
Potential profit: $148.47
User PnL: -$48.99

Daniil Medvedev position

Madrid Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Flavio Cobolli

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $121.15
Potential profit: $121.15
User PnL: -$63

Yes position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 24, 2026?

Ends Apr 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $117.65
Potential profit: $117.65
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 14, 2026?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $111.54
Potential profit: $111.54
User PnL: -$26.77

Flavio Cobolli position

Madrid Open: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverev

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $103.45
Potential profit: $103.45
User PnL: -$30

Down position

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 22?

Ends Apr 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $92.23
Potential profit: $92.23
User PnL: -$19.37

Casper Ruud position

Madrid Open: Casper Ruud vs Alexander Blockx

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $90.91
Potential profit: $90.91
User PnL: -$30

Hailey Baptiste position

Madrid Open: Hailey Baptiste vs Mirra Andreeva

Ends May 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $90.91
Potential profit: $90.91
User PnL: -$30

Down position

SPY (SPY) Up or Down on April 24?

Ends Apr 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $84.28
Potential profit: $84.28
User PnL: -$19.38

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $62.68
Potential profit: $62.68
User PnL: -$28.83

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?

Ends Apr 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $90

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $44.4

Alexander Blockx position

Madrid Open: Casper Ruud vs Alexander Blockx

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32.22

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on April 23?

Ends Apr 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30

Up position

S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 27?

Ends Apr 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $20.57

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20

No position

US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17

No position

JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 10?

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.4

Alexander Blockx position

Madrid Open: Francisco Cerundolo vs Alexander Blockx

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.97

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.58

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.54

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on April 24?

Ends Apr 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $6.98

No position

US x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026?

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.74

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$4

Francisco Cerundolo position

Madrid Open: Francisco Cerundolo vs Alexander Blockx

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$4.04

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$23.06

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Madrid Open: Casper Ruud vs Alexander Blockx

Casper Ruud 33% 90.91 shares
Madrid Open: Casper Ruud vs Alexander Blockx

Alexander Blockx 56% 111.11 shares
Madrid Open: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverev

Flavio Cobolli 29% 103.45 shares
Madrid Open: Hailey Baptiste vs Mirra Andreeva

Hailey Baptiste 33% 90.91 shares
Madrid Open: Casper Ruud vs Alexander Blockx

Alexander Blockx 27% 111.11 shares
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Yes 35% 300 shares
Madrid Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Flavio Cobolli

Daniil Medvedev 52% 121.15 shares
Madrid Open: Francisco Cerundolo vs Alexander Blockx

Francisco Cerundolo 36.4% 71.42 shares
Madrid Open: Francisco Cerundolo vs Alexander Blockx

Francisco Cerundolo 42% 71.43 shares
Madrid Open: Francisco Cerundolo vs Alexander Blockx

Alexander Blockx 43% 144.14 shares
Madrid Open: Francisco Cerundolo vs Alexander Blockx

Alexander Blockx 34% 141.24 shares
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?

No 83% 70.54 shares