Yes position
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 50.5%
- Current value
- $346.6
- Potential payout
- $686.34
- Potential profit
- $339.74
- Multiplier
- 1.98x
- User PnL
- $70.97
Polymarket Trader
hughpan
0x0aee86284c1ab80db10e8b3f8d69879629f354f4
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $346.6
- Realized PnL
- $59.33
- Win rate
- 42.9%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 7
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will iPhone 17 cost more than iPhone 16?
Ends Sep 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $299.35
- Potential profit
- $299.35
- User PnL
- -$100
Y
Yes position
Will annual inflation increase by 2.8% in August?
Ends Sep 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $273.68
- Potential profit
- $273.68
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will annual inflation increase by 2.9% or less in September?
Ends Oct 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $127.42
- Potential profit
- $127.42
- User PnL
- -$31.62
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the Government shutdown end October 23-26?
Ends Nov 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $259.89
Yes position
Will the Government shutdown end October 19-22?
Ends Nov 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $4.22
Yes position
Will the Government shutdown end October 27-30?
Ends Nov 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $4.05
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?
Ends Oct 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$13.02
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?
Ends Sep 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$18.34
Yes position
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$58.88
Yes position
Will the Government shutdown end by October 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$118.58
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?Yes 40.2% 686.33 shares
- Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?Yes 58% 499.91 shares
- Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?Yes 57% 499.91 shares
- Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?Yes 66% 446.54 shares
- Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?Yes 65% 51.58 shares
- Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?Yes 6.3% 490.53 shares
- Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?Yes 18.3% 490.54 shares
- Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?Yes 46% 108.7 shares
- Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?Yes 51% 203.2 shares
- Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?Yes 62% 83.06 shares
- Will annual inflation increase by 2.9% or less in September?Yes 24.8% 127.42 shares
- Will the Government shutdown end by October 31?Yes 8% 395.28 shares