Yes position
Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $56.35
- Potential payout
- $22.54K
- Potential profit
- $22.48K
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- $11.27
Polymarket Trader
.yumeko
0x0b13ffcfaa14fdf81196a961e1c5750b697a5957
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $4.05K
- Realized PnL
- $51.63K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 19.5%
- Current value
- $3.95K
- Potential payout
- $20.27K
- Potential profit
- $16.32K
- Multiplier
- 5.13x
- User PnL
- -$924.55
Yes position
Will Moshe Feiglin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $36.78
- Potential payout
- $14.71K
- Potential profit
- $14.68K
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$22.98
Yes position
Will Jorge Nieto win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $3.17
- Potential payout
- $6.34K
- Potential profit
- $6.34K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$37.86
Yes position
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.1K
- Potential profit
- $1.1K
- User PnL
- -$407
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.4K
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.52K
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.45K
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.65K
Yes position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $839.8
No position
Will Karen Bass & Spencer Pratt advance to the second round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $839.46
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $747.74
Yes position
US strikes Yemen by December 31?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $681.9
Yes position
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 38.1%
- Multiplier
- 2.63x
- User PnL
- $633.81
No position
Will Khamenei leave Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $624.33
No position
Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 94%
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $592.1
Up position
Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on January 28?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $582.77
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $502.14
No position
Will the government shutdown last 5 days or more?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $500.4
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $481.31
No position
US strikes Iran by February 22, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $443.04
Yes position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $437.39
Yes position
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $420.18
No position
Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in January?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $412.9
Yes position
Will the Freedom Movement (GS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $407.87
Yes position
Will the U.S. collect less than $100b in revenue in 2025?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $398.3
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in March?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $385.98
No position
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $348.3
No position
Epstein client list released in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $334.08
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes 30% 7,072 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 36% 3,303.35 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 22.6% 1,411 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 21.5% 1,674.8 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes 41% 729.99 shares
- Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw?Yes 27% 630 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes 24% 1,800 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 12.3% 5,314.77 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 12.5% 14.99 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes 16% 1,400 shares
- US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?Yes 39% 1,315 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 4.3% 10,470 shares