Polymarket Trader

figz

0x0b247395da308477307eaa9219800639ae5c01ab

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $413.61
Realized PnL: $5.42K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 9
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 145m and 158m?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 85.6%
Current value: $212.16
Potential payout: $247.99
Potential profit: $35.83
Multiplier: 1.17x
User PnL: $14.43

Yes position

Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 158m and 171m?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 85.5%
Current value: $188.1
Potential payout: $220
Potential profit: $31.9
Multiplier: 1.17x
User PnL: $15.4

Yes position

Will the Alliance for the Union of Romanians (AUR) be included in the next Romanian government?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 2.5%
Current value: $0.25
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $9.75
Multiplier: 40.00x
User PnL: -$2.85

Yes position

Will "Toy Story 5" score at least 80 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 99.7%
Current value: $6.62
Potential payout: $6.64
Potential profit: $0.02
User PnL: $0.05

No position

Will "Michael" make it into the IMDb Top 250?

Ends Mar 31, 2027

Implied probability: 62.5%
Current value: $3.82
Potential payout: $6.12
Potential profit: $2.3
Multiplier: 1.60x
User PnL: -$1.63

Yes position

Will Eugen Tomac be the next Prime Minister of Romania?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $2.6
Potential profit: $2.59
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$0.99

No position

Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 79.5%
Current value: $0.95
Potential payout: $1.19
Potential profit: $0.24
Multiplier: 1.26x
User PnL: -$0.05

Yes position

Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 80.5%
Current value: $0.95
Potential payout: $1.18
Potential profit: $0.23
Multiplier: 1.24x
User PnL: -$0.05

No position

Will "Obsession" 6th Weekend Box Office be less than 14m?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 65.5%
Current value: $0.75
Potential payout: $1.15
Potential profit: $0.4
Multiplier: 1.53x
User PnL: -$0.25

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will turnout be between 1000000 and 1100000 in the NYC Democratic mayoral primary?

Ends Jun 24, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $672.9

Yes position

Will "How to Train Your Dragon" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $78m and $85m?

Ends Jun 16, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $613.66

Yes position

Will "Karate Kid: Legends" gross $20m or more but less than $23m opening weekend?

Ends Jun 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $543.14

Yes position

Will voter turnout in the 2025 Romanian presidential election be between 11.5–12m?

Ends May 18, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $482.51

No position

Iran strike on Israel by Friday?

Ends Jun 13, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $262.73

No position

Will global temperature increase by between 1.05–1.10ºC in July 2025?

Ends Jul 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $257.52

Yes position

Will Joe Biden make an appearance by September 22?

Ends Sep 22, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $223.36

Yes position

Will Kim Moon-soo win more than 40% of the vote in the South Korea election?

Ends Jun 3, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $207.5

Yes position

Will "Superman" Opening Weekend Box Office be more than $124m?

Ends Jul 14, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $192.32

Yes position

Will Google have the top AI model on July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $190.43

Yes position

Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $164.16

No position

Will "Karate Kid: Legends" gross less than $20m opening weekend?

Ends Jun 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $156.22

Yes position

Will 'Lilo & Stitch' gross between $140-150m opening weekend?

Ends May 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $147.91

Yes position

1,475+ Measles cases in U.S. by September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $145.46

Yes position

Will Elon Musk's net worth be more than $370b on May 31?

Ends May 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $143.92

Yes position

Will Google have the top AI model on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $133.57

Yes position

Will "Michael" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 50m and 55m?

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $128.08

Yes position

Thailand strikes Cambodia by Friday?

Ends Jul 25, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $125.35

Yes position

Will Donald Trump issue fewer than 10 executive orders in June?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $124.22

No position

Will George Simion win by over 18%?

Ends May 18, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $113.54

Yes position

Will George Simion win the Romanian presidential election?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $104.12

No position

Will "Michael" 2nd Weekend Box Office be greater than 55m?

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $103.51

No position

Israel strikes Yemen by Friday?

Ends Jul 18, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $90.46

No position

Will Donald Trump issue 10-14 executive orders in June?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $90.15

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

No 84% 1.19 shares
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Yes 85% 1.18 shares
Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 158m and 171m?

Yes 79% 10 shares
Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 145m and 158m?

No 78.2% 10 shares
Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 158m and 171m?

Yes 78% 10 shares
Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 145m and 158m?

No 78.2% 100 shares
Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 145m and 158m?

No 78.1% 7.2 shares
Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 158m and 171m?

Yes 79% 100 shares
Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 158m and 171m?

Yes 78% 10 shares
Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 158m and 171m?

No 21.4% 50 shares
Will "Obsession" 6th Weekend Box Office be less than 14m?

No 87% 1.15 shares
Will "Obsession" 6th Weekend Box Office be less than 14m?

No 70% 200 shares