No position
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $89.29
- Potential profit
- $89.29
- User PnL
- -$5
Polymarket Trader
Vaidim
0x0b2bc90f5135dd8dd43198e1e15e3a7d60d22aec
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $90.51
- Realized PnL
- $9.93
- Win rate
- 71.4%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 7
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 70%
- Current value
- $50.01
- Potential payout
- $71.44
- Potential profit
- $21.43
- Multiplier
- 1.43x
- User PnL
- -$13.49
No position
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96%
- Current value
- $20
- Potential payout
- $20.84
- Potential profit
- $0.84
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $1
Yes position
Will Discord not IPO by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- Current value
- $10.92
- Potential payout
- $10.98
- Potential profit
- $0.05
- User PnL
- $1.92
No position
Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 91%
- Current value
- $9.59
- Potential payout
- $10.53
- Potential profit
- $0.95
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- -$0.41
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $5.53
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.15
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.82
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.46
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.31
No position
Will Databricks’ market cap be between $200B and $250B at market close on IPO day?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- User PnL
- -$0.09
Yes position
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.25
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?No 91.4% 10.94 shares
- Will Databricks’ market cap be between $200B and $250B at market close on IPO day?No 96.7% 10.24 shares
- Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?No 90.9% 9.9 shares
- Will Databricks’ market cap be between $200B and $250B at market close on IPO day?No 97.6% 10.25 shares
- Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day?No 94.9% 10.53 shares
- Will Discord not IPO by June 30, 2026?Yes 82% 10.98 shares
- Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?Yes 62% 24.52 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes 33% 31.25 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?Yes 71.3% 18.45 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?Yes 54.2% 18.45 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes 32% 31.25 shares
- Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?Yes 90% 6.67 shares