Yes position
Will Khamenei leave Iran by Friday?
Ends Jan 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $75.5K
- Potential profit
- $75.5K
- User PnL
- -$498.93
Polymarket Trader
0x0b30d7a048a270c8d7311f2e45344F105c9354f9-1767401919066
0x0b30d7a048a270c8d7311f2e45344f105c9354f9
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $4.42K
- Realized PnL
- $22.83K
- Win rate
- 50%
- Open positions
- 12
- Closed positions
- 6
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Current value
- $2.96K
- Potential payout
- $39.47K
- Potential profit
- $36.51K
- Multiplier
- 13.33x
- User PnL
- -$9.54K
Yes position
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by January 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $16.75K
- Potential profit
- $16.75K
- User PnL
- -$1.09K
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $13.32K
- Potential profit
- $13.32K
- User PnL
- -$1.82K
Yes position
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $30.96
- Potential payout
- $12.38K
- Potential profit
- $12.35K
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$3.82K
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.88K
- Potential profit
- $4.88K
- User PnL
- -$899.99
Yes position
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 22%
- Current value
- $1.01K
- Potential payout
- $4.6K
- Potential profit
- $3.59K
- Multiplier
- 4.55x
- User PnL
- -$137.68
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $313.5
- Potential payout
- $3.3K
- Potential profit
- $2.99K
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$1.24K
Yes position
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.11K
- Potential profit
- $2.11K
- User PnL
- -$27.71
Yes position
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.1%
- Current value
- $82
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $1.92K
- Multiplier
- 24.39x
- User PnL
- -$362.15
Yes position
Iran leadership change by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 16.5%
- Current value
- $24.75
- Potential payout
- $150
- Potential profit
- $125.25
- Multiplier
- 6.06x
- User PnL
- -$81.65
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $49.29
- Potential profit
- $49.29
- User PnL
- -$16.16
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.51K
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.94K
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.87K
Yes position
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by February 28?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$44.63
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$218.3
Yes position
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$234.17
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?Yes 25% 47.32 shares
- Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?Yes 13.1% 3,000 shares
- Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?Yes 25% 1,051.32 shares
- Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?Yes 12% 6,000 shares
- Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?Yes 11% 801.92 shares
- Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by May 31?Yes 1.3% 2,104.4 shares
- Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?Yes 17% 5,882.35 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes 44% 1,000 shares
- Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?Yes 30% 1,000 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes 44% 500 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes 44% 300 shares
- Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?Yes 17% 260 shares