waleyyyy

Implied probability: 5.7%
Current value: $5.65K
Potential payout: $100K
Potential profit: $94.35K
Multiplier: 17.70x
User PnL: -$49.9

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 8.1%
Current value: $4.83K
Potential payout: $60K
Potential profit: $55.17K
Multiplier: 12.42x
User PnL: -$30

Yes position

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 6.7%
Current value: $3.75K
Potential payout: $56.33K
Potential profit: $52.59K
Multiplier: 15.04x
User PnL: -$171.26

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 13.8%
Current value: $7.27K
Potential payout: $52.9K
Potential profit: $45.63K
Multiplier: 7.27x
User PnL: -$477.9

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 12.9%
Current value: $629.65
Potential payout: $4.9K
Potential profit: $4.27K
Multiplier: 7.78x
User PnL: $120.05

Yes position

Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $2K
User PnL: -$960

Yes position

Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 57.5%
Current value: $922.11
Potential payout: $1.6K
Potential profit: $681.56
Multiplier: 1.74x
User PnL: -$77.89

Yes position

Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 63.5%
Current value: $969.63
Potential payout: $1.53K
Potential profit: $557.35
Multiplier: 1.57x
User PnL: -$30.37

No position

Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-18?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 85.5%
Current value: $994.37
Potential payout: $1.16K
Potential profit: $168.64
Multiplier: 1.17x
User PnL: -$5.81

Yes position

Will Vinicius Junior be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 2.1%
Current value: $22.03
Potential payout: $1.07K
Potential profit: $1.05K
Multiplier: 48.78x
User PnL: -$27.97

Yes position

Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-05-14?

Ends May 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$260

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - March 25, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET

Ends Mar 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $899.98
Potential profit: $899.98
User PnL: -$90

Yes position

Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-05-17?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $357.43
Potential profit: $357.43
User PnL: -$167.99

Yes position

Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 20.5%
Current value: $68.33
Potential payout: $333.33
Potential profit: $265
Multiplier: 4.88x
User PnL: $18.33

Yes position

Will Austria win on 2026-06-22?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 15.5%
Current value: $40.79
Potential payout: $263.16
Potential profit: $222.37
Multiplier: 6.45x
User PnL: -$9.21

Yes position

Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $259.03
Potential profit: $259.03
User PnL: -$150

Yes position

Will Argentina vs. Algeria end in a draw?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $238.1
Potential profit: $238.1
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will Canada vs. Qatar end in a draw?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 16.5%
Current value: $35.87
Potential payout: $217.39
Potential profit: $181.52
Multiplier: 6.06x
User PnL: -$14.13

Yes position

Will Tunisia win on 2026-06-21?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 12.5%
Current value: $26.25
Potential payout: $210.03
Potential profit: $183.77
Multiplier: 8.00x
User PnL: -$23.75

Yes position

Will Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 23.5%
Current value: $48.96
Potential payout: $208.33
Potential profit: $159.38
Multiplier: 4.26x
User PnL: -$1.04

Yes position

Will United States vs. Australia end in a draw?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 21.5%
Current value: $43
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $157
Multiplier: 4.65x
User PnL: -$7

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $192.31
Potential profit: $192.31
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will Senegal win on 2026-06-22?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 31.5%
Current value: $58.33
Potential payout: $185.19
Potential profit: $126.85
Multiplier: 3.17x
User PnL: $8.33

Yes position

Will Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $185.19
Potential profit: $185.19
User PnL: -$50

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Newcastle United FC vs. Chelsea FC end in a draw?

Ends Dec 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $589.95

Yes position

MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $483.77

No position

Solstice FDV above $400M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $286.14

No position

Will Trump issue a Gold Card by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $153.08

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $122.84

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $109.41

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET

Ends May 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.18

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on February 8?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.56

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.3

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET

Ends May 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.01

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.75

Gold position

First to 5k: Gold or ETH?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.86

Yes position

Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-18?

Ends May 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.89

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $7.62

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $72,000 on February 7?

Ends Feb 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.8

Yes position

No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.66

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $6

Yes position

MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1.5B one day after launch?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.48

No position

Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $5.21

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.4

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4

Yes position

Will Como 1907 win on 2026-05-17?