No position
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 67.5%
- Current value
- $469.8
- Potential payout
- $696
- Potential profit
- $226.2
- Multiplier
- 1.48x
- User PnL
- $24.36
Polymarket Trader
shinyhunter
0x0b4f78c47e80d9432fb0d3c6c64ee0bae3be3b33
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.38K
- Realized PnL
- $8.13K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 10
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.5%
- Current value
- $46.52
- Potential payout
- $443
- Potential profit
- $396.49
- Multiplier
- 9.52x
- User PnL
- -$37.66
No position
Will Axiom launch a token by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 82.5%
- Current value
- $363.83
- Potential payout
- $441
- Potential profit
- $77.18
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- $6.61
Anthropic position
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 73.5%
- Current value
- $220.5
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $79.5
- Multiplier
- 1.36x
- User PnL
- $22.5
No position
Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Current value
- $174.73
- Potential payout
- $202
- Potential profit
- $27.27
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $35.35
No position
US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.9%
- Current value
- $5
- Potential payout
- $102
- Potential profit
- $97
- Multiplier
- 20.41x
- User PnL
- -$84.76
No position
Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.5%
- Current value
- $69.03
- Potential payout
- $78
- Potential profit
- $8.97
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $10.53
Yes position
Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.5%
- Current value
- $6.21
- Potential payout
- $54
- Potential profit
- $47.79
- Multiplier
- 8.70x
- User PnL
- -$7.29
Yes position
Will USDT market cap hit $200B before 2027?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 56.1%
- Current value
- $23.54
- Potential payout
- $42
- Potential profit
- $18.46
- Multiplier
- 1.78x
- User PnL
- -$11.49
Yes position
Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.1%
- Current value
- $0.14
- Potential payout
- $2
- Potential profit
- $1.86
- Multiplier
- 14.01x
- User PnL
- -$0.44
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Over position
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Real Oviedo: O/U 2.5
Ends Feb 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.12K
Over position
Al Kholood Saudi Club vs. Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club: O/U 3.5
Ends Mar 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $761.89
Yes position
Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 55% and 60%?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $761.09
Yes position
Will Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata win on 2026-03-08?
Ends Mar 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $599.61
Milwaukee Admirals position
AHL: Milwaukee Admirals vs. Grand Rapids Griffins
Ends Mar 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $528.63
No position
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 10, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $514.17
Yes position
Another S&P 500 Company buys Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 21.6%
- Multiplier
- 4.63x
- User PnL
- $505.25
Over position
Sydney FC vs. Auckland FC: O/U 1.5
Ends Dec 27, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $502.54
Yes position
Will between 9 and 12 participants make a final pair?
Ends Feb 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $424.62
Yes position
Will Albin Kurti be the next Prime Minister of Kosovo?
Ends Dec 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $415.48
Yes position
Will "Concussion" be said at the Super Bowl?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $267.33
Yes position
Will "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" be said during the first episode of the Joe Rogan Experience this week? (February 15)
Ends Feb 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $225.68
No position
Will Seattle have between 3 and 4 inches of precipitation in January?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $203.55
No position
Will Iran strike Iraq by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $182.4
Yes position
Will the total number of TSA passengers for March 9 - March 15 be between 17,500,000 and 18,000,000?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $171.9
Yes position
Will Charlton Athletic FC vs. Portsmouth FC end in a draw?
Ends Dec 6, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $133.2
Yes position
Will "War" be said on the first Joe Rogan Experience episode of the week? (March 29)
Ends Mar 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $121.66
Up position
XRP Up or Down - February 14, 8PM ET
Ends Feb 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $116
No position
Will Seattle have between 3 and 4 inches of precipitation in February?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $109.43
Yes position
Will "Elon" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?
Ends Jan 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $102.17
Olympiacos B.C. position
Olympiacos B.C. vs. Fenerbahce
Ends Dec 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $98.02
Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks position
Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks vs. Michigan State Spartans
Ends Feb 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 50%
- Multiplier
- 2.00x
- User PnL
- $91.28
Yes position
Will Iran take military action against a Gulf State on March 29, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $89.59
Yes position
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 92.3%
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $83.5
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Israel be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?Yes 56% 16 shares
- Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?Yes 11% 209 shares
- Will Axiom launch a token by December 31, 2026?No 85% 143 shares
- Manchester City FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo 22% 247 shares
- Manchester City FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo 22% 322 shares
- U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?Yes 29% 35 shares
- Rippling IPO before 2027?No 83% 588 shares
- Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by June 30, 2026?No 75% 372 shares
- Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by June 30, 2026?No 75% 486 shares
- Rippling IPO before 2027?No 83% 588 shares
- Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by June 30, 2026?No 75% 858 shares
- Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 10, 2026?No 96.9% 24 shares