Polymarket Trader

Certifiedcracked

0x0b5722dd25873df2d7719322b0b3db95b352eccc

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $21.16
Realized PnL: $37.21
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 19
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.61
Potential payout: $201.79
Potential profit: $201.18
Multiplier: 333.33x
User PnL: -$0.39

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $0.62
Potential payout: $112.5
Potential profit: $111.88
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: $0.17

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 1.5%
Current value: $0.53
Potential payout: $36.33
Potential profit: $35.8
Multiplier: 68.97x
User PnL: -$0.18

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 2.1%
Current value: $0.66
Potential payout: $32.29
Potential profit: $31.63
Multiplier: 48.78x
User PnL: $0.34

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $0.15
Potential payout: $26.74
Potential profit: $26.59
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: -$0.12

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 7.5%
Current value: $1.75
Potential payout: $23.34
Potential profit: $21.59
Multiplier: 13.33x
User PnL: $1.52

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 3.9%
Current value: $0.66
Potential payout: $17
Potential profit: $16.34
Multiplier: 25.64x
User PnL: -$0.36

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 16.4%
Current value: $2.77
Potential payout: $16.92
Potential profit: $14.15
Multiplier: 6.12x
User PnL: $2.26

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $1.43
Potential payout: $15
Potential profit: $13.58
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: $0.38

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.03
Potential payout: $13.75
Potential profit: $13.72
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: $0.01

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $1.26
Potential payout: $13.25
Potential profit: $11.99
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: $0.6

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 13.5%
Current value: $1.62
Potential payout: $12
Potential profit: $10.38
Multiplier: 7.41x
User PnL: -$0.3

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.02
Potential payout: $11.9
Potential profit: $11.88
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$0.7

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 25.8%
Current value: $2.59
Potential payout: $10.04
Potential profit: $7.46
Multiplier: 3.88x
User PnL: $1.96

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 19.5%
Current value: $1.61
Potential payout: $8.25
Potential profit: $6.64
Multiplier: 5.13x
User PnL: $0.12

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 19.5%
Current value: $1.61
Potential payout: $8.25
Potential profit: $6.64
Multiplier: 5.13x
User PnL: $0.12

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 26%
Current value: $2.12
Potential payout: $8.14
Potential profit: $6.02
Multiplier: 3.85x
User PnL: $0.73

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $1.09
Potential payout: $7.5
Potential profit: $6.41
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: -$0.41

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 1%
Current value: $0.05
Potential payout: $5.73
Potential profit: $5.68
Multiplier: 105.26x
User PnL: -$0.29

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026?

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.06

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.75

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.37

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 52.2%
Multiplier: 1.92x
User PnL: $2.19

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.04

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from February 9 to February 11, 2026?

Ends Feb 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.95

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.74

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.67

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: $1.64

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.53

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.43

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.3

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from February 9 to February 11, 2026?

Ends Feb 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.23

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.2

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.2

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.19

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 41.5%
Multiplier: 2.41x
User PnL: $1.06

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?

Ends Mar 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.05

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.95

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.93

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.92

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.91

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?

Ends Apr 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.9

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?

Yes 0.5% 201.79 shares
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?

Yes 7% 1.79 shares
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?

Yes 25.1% 0.84 shares
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?

Yes 2% 1.79 shares
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?

Yes 2% 1.79 shares
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?

Yes 5% 1.79 shares
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?

Yes 5% 1.79 shares
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?

Yes 0.3% 6.25 shares
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?

Yes 3% 1.79 shares
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?

Yes 3% 1.79 shares
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?

Yes 2% 1.79 shares
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?

Yes 2% 1.79 shares