Yes position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $44.14K
- Potential profit
- $44.14K
- User PnL
- -$215.87
Polymarket Trader
Shadow33
@shadow33377
0x0b5bce8e6b9983c0bfde1442d3578386546edca3
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $322.11
- Realized PnL
- $1.95K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.24K
- Potential profit
- $5.24K
- User PnL
- -$80.99
Yes position
Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.2%
- Current value
- $71.69
- Potential payout
- $3.26K
- Potential profit
- $3.19K
- Multiplier
- 45.45x
- User PnL
- -$147.06
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 27?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.33K
- Potential profit
- $2.33K
- User PnL
- -$7
No position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?
Ends May 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.29K
- Potential profit
- $1.29K
- User PnL
- -$13
No position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.28K
- Potential profit
- $1.28K
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from June 12 to June 19, 2026?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.25K
- Potential profit
- $1.25K
- User PnL
- -$20
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.23K
- Potential profit
- $1.23K
- User PnL
- -$4
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.2K
- Potential profit
- $1.2K
- User PnL
- -$2
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 17.6%
- Current value
- $182.81
- Potential payout
- $1.04K
- Potential profit
- $858.85
- Multiplier
- 5.70x
- User PnL
- $157.81
Yes position
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.7%
- Current value
- $40.64
- Potential payout
- $719.23
- Potential profit
- $678.59
- Multiplier
- 17.70x
- User PnL
- $0.64
Yes position
Will Israel annex Gaza territory by June 30 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.3%
- Current value
- $7.58
- Potential payout
- $606.06
- Potential profit
- $598.48
- Multiplier
- 80.00x
- User PnL
- -$7.42
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 21, 2026?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $604.9
- Potential profit
- $604.9
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Israel closes its airspace by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $555.56
- Potential profit
- $555.56
- User PnL
- -$5
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 7PM ET
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $540.23
- Potential profit
- $540.23
- User PnL
- -$40.73
Yes position
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.8%
- Current value
- $19.4
- Potential payout
- $510.42
- Potential profit
- $491.02
- Multiplier
- 26.32x
- User PnL
- -$3.6
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 18, 2026?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$1
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $428.85
- Potential profit
- $428.85
- User PnL
- -$14
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET
Ends May 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $378.1
- Potential profit
- $378.1
- User PnL
- -$9.99
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $370.61
- Potential profit
- $370.61
- User PnL
- -$109.53
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $341.29
- Potential profit
- $341.29
- User PnL
- -$50
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $338.12
- Potential profit
- $338.12
- User PnL
- -$11
Yes position
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $299.74
- Potential profit
- $299.74
- User PnL
- -$100
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 28?
Ends May 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $297.94
- Potential profit
- $297.94
- User PnL
- -$5
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?
Ends May 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $438.24
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $136.04
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $111.92
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET
Ends May 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $111.27
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $103.81
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET
Ends May 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $95.08
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET
Ends Mar 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $80.03
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $73.84
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $73.52
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $67.77
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $66.44
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $57.32
No position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 26?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $56.75
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $54.57
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $51.93
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $48.86
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET
Ends Mar 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $47.09
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $42.32
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET
Ends Jun 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $41.64
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET
Ends Feb 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $41
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $39.1
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $38.6
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $37.75
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET
Ends Jun 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $37.58
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the announcers say "Captain" during the USA vs Australia FIFA World Cup Match?No 1.6% 125.7 shares
- Will the announcers say "Goal" 20+ times during the USA vs Australia FIFA World Cup Match?No 1.5% 133.33 shares
- Will the announcers say "Goal" 20+ times during the USA vs Australia FIFA World Cup Match?No 3.3% 152.75 shares
- Will the announcers say "What A Save" during the USA vs Australia FIFA World Cup Match?Yes 27% 18.52 shares
- Will the announcers say "History" during the USA vs Australia FIFA World Cup Match?No 9% 44.44 shares
- Will the announcers say "Trump" during the USA vs Australia FIFA World Cup Match?Yes 9% 222.22 shares
- Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?Yes 4.6% 392.95 shares
- Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from June 12 to June 19, 2026?Yes 1.3% 743.73 shares
- Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from June 12 to June 19, 2026?Yes 0.3% 371.72 shares
- Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from June 12 to June 19, 2026?Yes 2% 504.67 shares
- Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from June 12 to June 19, 2026?Yes 4.1% 246.73 shares
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Egypt?Yes 1.2% 424.22 shares