Yes position
Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 4–8%?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $1.22
- Potential payout
- $2.44K
- Potential profit
- $2.44K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$28.39
Polymarket Trader
eratoxtenex
0x0b651d994b2e8c7f3f84442b759941a830e0013e
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $9K
- Realized PnL
- $5.5K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 4–8%?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $1.07
- Potential payout
- $2.14K
- Potential profit
- $2.14K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$143.96
Yes position
Will SpaceX's market cap be less than $1.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.3%
- Current value
- $26
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $1.97K
- Multiplier
- 76.92x
- User PnL
- $9.02
No position
Will Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- Current value
- $1.69K
- Potential payout
- $1.7K
- Potential profit
- $7.65
- User PnL
- $31.95
Yes position
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.6%
- Current value
- $1.08K
- Potential payout
- $1.1K
- Potential profit
- $15.95
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $218.55
Yes position
Spain snap election called by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 4.1%
- Current value
- $41
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $959
- Multiplier
- 24.39x
- User PnL
- -$20
No position
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.8%
- Current value
- $977.5
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $22.5
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- -$0.5
Yes position
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Current value
- $8.5
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $991.5
- Multiplier
- 117.65x
- User PnL
- -$1.5
Yes position
Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 1.8%
- Current value
- $17.5
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $982.5
- Multiplier
- 57.14x
- User PnL
- -$12.5
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 28.5%
- Current value
- $261.33
- Potential payout
- $917.27
- Potential profit
- $655.94
- Multiplier
- 3.51x
- User PnL
- -$73.93
Yes position
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 15%+?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.9%
- Current value
- $39.2
- Potential payout
- $800
- Potential profit
- $760.8
- Multiplier
- 20.41x
- User PnL
- $0.8
Yes position
Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $693.75
- Potential payout
- $750
- Potential profit
- $56.25
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $155.25
Yes position
Will New York use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.3%
- Current value
- $22.82
- Potential payout
- $691.66
- Potential profit
- $668.84
- Multiplier
- 30.30x
- User PnL
- $6.22
No position
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- Current value
- $596.7
- Potential payout
- $600
- Potential profit
- $3.3
- User PnL
- $10.5
Yes position
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Current value
- $537
- Potential payout
- $600
- Potential profit
- $63
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $81
No position
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 77.5%
- Current value
- $457.5
- Potential payout
- $590.32
- Potential profit
- $132.82
- Multiplier
- 1.29x
- User PnL
- $23.08
No position
Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- Current value
- $577.38
- Potential payout
- $581.74
- Potential profit
- $4.36
- User PnL
- $3.2
No position
Spain snap election called in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 67.5%
- Current value
- $355.15
- Potential payout
- $526.14
- Potential profit
- $171
- Multiplier
- 1.48x
- User PnL
- -$1.41
No position
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.5%
- Current value
- $477.5
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $22.5
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $22.5
Yes position
Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?
Ends Aug 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 6%
- Current value
- $30
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $470
- Multiplier
- 16.67x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will any month of 2026 be the hottest on record?
Ends Jan 10, 2027- Implied probability
- 84.5%
- Current value
- $422.49
- Potential payout
- $499.99
- Potential profit
- $77.5
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- -$7.5
Yes position
Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 0-5%?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Current value
- $2.75
- Potential payout
- $499.98
- Potential profit
- $497.23
- Multiplier
- 181.82x
- User PnL
- -$118.75
No position
Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?
Ends Sep 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 49%
- Current value
- $244.98
- Potential payout
- $499.95
- Potential profit
- $254.98
- Multiplier
- 2.04x
- User PnL
- -$46
No position
Will José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero be arrested by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.8%
- Current value
- $435.92
- Potential payout
- $445.73
- Potential profit
- $9.81
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $7.77
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $609.88
Yes position
Will Keiko Fujimori win the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by at least 5%?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $476.86
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $376.01
No position
Will Reform UK win at least 1600 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $320.99
Team Falcons position
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Rio Group A
Ends Apr 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $291
No position
Will Trump visit China by March 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $246.94
Yes position
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $223.03
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $211.02
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of May 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $203.24
No position
Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $199.6
No position
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 16, 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $195
Yes position
Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $193.21
Yes position
Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Rhineland-Palatinate parliamentary elections?
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $186
Yes position
Will Ukraine re-enter Rodynske by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $185
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $178
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $169.75
No position
Epstein suicide note released by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $166.84
No position
Will China announce a Boeing aircraft purchase by May 22?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $161.98
Yes position
Will Karen Bass & Nithya Raman advance to the second round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $160
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $159.6
3DMAX position
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs 3DMAX (BO3) - IEM Rio Group A
Ends Apr 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $156
No position
Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $148
No position
DeepSeek V4 released by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $143.5
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $142.06
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16?No 96% 25.92 shares
- Will José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero be arrested by June 30?No 96.1% 445.73 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 94.1% 400 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 15?Yes 18% 61.1 shares
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?No 97.7% 299.99 shares
- Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–0.1%?No 98.4% 37.1 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?No 70% 508.81 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in June?Yes 79% 78.81 shares
- Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 4–8%?Yes 2% 933.97 shares
- Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes 77% 8.41 shares
- Will Karen Bass & Nithya Raman advance to the second round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?No 45% 159.94 shares
- Will VOX (VOX) win fewer than 13 seats in the 2026 Andalusia Regional Election?No 98.2% 70.5 shares