Polymarket Trader

lucas68

0x0b66feae5444435e377403ecc38af789cd84aac6

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $771.81
Realized PnL: $16.14K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $4.51
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $998.5
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: -$12.2

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 18.8%
Current value: $188.06
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $814.94
Multiplier: 5.33x
User PnL: $171.35

Yes position

Will Panama win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$16.72

Yes position

Will Haiti win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$16.72

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 10.9%
Current value: $108.83
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $894.18
Multiplier: 9.22x
User PnL: $92.11

Yes position

Will Qatar win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$16.21

Yes position

Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$16.72

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 14.1%
Current value: $140.92
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $862.09
Multiplier: 7.12x
User PnL: $124.21

Yes position

Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 2%
Current value: $19.56
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $983.45
Multiplier: 51.28x
User PnL: $2.84

Yes position

Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.3%
Current value: $12.54
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $990.47
Multiplier: 80.00x
User PnL: -$4.18

Yes position

Will Saudi Arabia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$16.21

Yes position

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.2%
Current value: $51.65
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $951.35
Multiplier: 19.42x
User PnL: $34.94

Yes position

Will South Africa win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$16.21

Yes position

Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $2.51
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$14.21

Yes position

Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.2%
Current value: $11.53
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $991.47
Multiplier: 86.96x
User PnL: -$5.18

Yes position

Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $2.51
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$14.21

Yes position

Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$16.21

Yes position

Will Czechia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$16.21

Yes position

Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $1.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$15.21

Yes position

Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $2.51
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$14.21

Yes position

Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $2.51
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$14.21

Yes position

Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $1.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$15.21

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 13.9%
Current value: $138.92
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $864.09
Multiplier: 7.22x
User PnL: $122.2

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 8%
Current value: $79.74
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $923.27
Multiplier: 12.58x
User PnL: $63.02

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.64K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 14 to May 16, 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.49K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.47K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $400.63

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $397.51

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 25 to May 27, 2026?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $372.07

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $55.94

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on May 14?

Ends May 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $54.95

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 11 to May 13, 2026?

Ends May 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $54.33

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 9 to May 11, 2026?

Ends May 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $54.07

No position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 6 to June 8, 2026?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $41.49

No position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026?

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.44

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 7 to May 9, 2026?

Ends May 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.04

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $61,000 on June 3?

Ends Jun 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.06

No position

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 4 to June 6, 2026?

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.78

No position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.79

No position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.6

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 23?

Ends May 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.88

No position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.91

No position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 30 to June 1, 2026?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.68

No position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.51

No position

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 6 to June 8, 2026?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.02

No position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.8

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 24?

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.8

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026?

No 97.7% 537.35 shares
Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?

Yes 99.4% 523.37 shares
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 13 to June 15, 2026?

No 96.8% 516.41 shares
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

No 99.9% 501 shares
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

No 99.8% 501 shares
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?

No 99.6% 501.93 shares
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?

No 99.7% 501.5 shares
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 10?

Yes 97% 513.8 shares
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 10?

Yes 97.3% 513.8 shares
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?

No 99.8% 400.8 shares
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 6 to June 8, 2026?

No 99.8% 509.02 shares
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 6 to June 8, 2026?

No 90.6% 441.49 shares