Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $100.57
- Potential payout
- $1.06K
- Potential profit
- $958.09
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$99.99
Polymarket Trader
twolabs
0x0b7936ccd9e64396009e19f3258b584e63b3b3fe
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $131.67
- Realized PnL
- $4.34K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 33.5%
- Current value
- $31.09
- Potential payout
- $92.82
- Potential profit
- $61.72
- Multiplier
- 2.99x
- User PnL
- $1.09
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Biden drops out of presidential race?
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.04K
Yes position
Biden drops out in July?
Ends Jul 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $358.04
Yes position
Will Trump go on Joe Rogan before election?
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $327.28
Yes position
US bank failure by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $319.74
No position
Caroline Ellison not sentenced to prison?
Ends Sep 24, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $185.71
Yes position
Another Biden beach day in September?
Ends Sep 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $180
Yes position
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?
Ends Aug 19, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $171.96
Yes position
Will NASA estimate a 3% chance of asteroid hitting Earth?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $158.63
Yes position
2024 July hottest on record?
Ends Jul 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $147.19
No position
Will Josh Shapiro be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?
Ends Aug 22, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $140.74
Yes position
Will Biden pardon Jim Biden?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $133.75
Yes position
Will Trump announce strategic Bitcoin reserve?
Ends Jul 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $133.2
Yes position
Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 15?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $129.95
No position
Will the San Francisco 49ers win the NFC West?
Ends Jan 6, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $127.7
No position
CrowdStrike outage fixed by Noon?
Ends Jul 19, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $113.85
Yes position
Will Joe Biden win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?
Ends Aug 18, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $112.92
Yes position
Will TikTok be on the App Store on May 1?
Ends May 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $91.62
Yes position
1 Trump vs. Harris debate before election?
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $88.64
Yes position
RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?
Ends Aug 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $79.89
No position
Will Trump say "China" 10+ times during his Wisconsin speech?
Ends Sep 28, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $71.15
Yes position
Will Beryl hit US as a hurricane?
Ends Jul 8, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $69.44
Yes position
Bitcoin above $60,000 on August 23?
Ends Aug 23, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $60
Yes position
Will Trump say "MAGA" 3 or more times at debate?
Ends Sep 10, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $51.43
Yes position
Will RFK Jr. say "CIA" during Friday address?
Ends Aug 23, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $51.14
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 30?Yes 18% 55.56 shares
- Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 30?Yes 53.7% 37.26 shares
- Will there be 3 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 25 - 31?Yes 0.3% 427.49 shares
- Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 15?Yes 74% 27.03 shares
- Will there be 3 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 25 - 31?Yes 2.3% 427.49 shares
- Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 15?Yes 99.9% 180.13 shares
- Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 15?Yes 27.8% 180.13 shares
- Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 31?Yes 81.6% 117.92 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Yes 20% 500 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Yes 18% 558.67 shares
- Will NASA estimate a 3% chance of asteroid hitting Earth?Yes 32.2% 234.03 shares
- Trump cryptocurrency executive order on Day 1?Yes 39% 768.44 shares