No position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $1.87K
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $131
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $31.79
Polymarket Trader
0x0B7A6030507efE5DB145FBB57a25Ba0C5f9d86cF-1770564924062
0x0b7a6030507efe5db145fbb57a25ba0c5f9d86cf
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $5.16K
- Realized PnL
- $44.39K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 85.5%
- Current value
- $1.28K
- Potential payout
- $1.5K
- Potential profit
- $217.5
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- $172.5
Yes position
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.7%
- Current value
- $62.15
- Potential payout
- $1.1K
- Potential profit
- $1.04K
- Multiplier
- 17.70x
- User PnL
- -$6.25
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- Current value
- $903.91
- Potential payout
- $908
- Potential profit
- $4.09
- User PnL
- $35.97
Yes position
GPT-5.5 released by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $781.8
- Potential profit
- $781.8
- User PnL
- -$23.45
Y
Yes position
Will SpaceX’s closing share price on its first day of trading be between $200 and $250?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$95.18
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.9%
- Current value
- $484.5
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $15.5
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $24.5
Yes position
World Cup: Unbeaten Champion?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 75.5%
- Current value
- $361.7
- Potential payout
- $479.07
- Potential profit
- $117.37
- Multiplier
- 1.32x
- User PnL
- -$1.6
Yes position
Will Gillian Sherratt win the 2026 Dublin-central by-election?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $425.41
- Potential profit
- $425.41
- User PnL
- -$11.7
Yes position
Will SpaceX’s “High” share price on its first day of trading hit 200 (High)?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $358.54
- Potential profit
- $358.54
- User PnL
- -$118.99
Down position
SpaceX IPO: Closing Share Price Up/Down on Second Day?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$109
Y
Yes position
Will SpaceX’s closing share price on its first day of trading be at least $250?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$13
Yes position
Will SpaceX’s “High” share price on its first day of trading hit 300 (High)?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$5.53
Yes position
Will SpaceX’s “High” share price on its first day of trading hit 250 (High)?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$18
Yes position
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$116
Up position
SpaceX IPO: Closing Price Up/Down End of First Month?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.5%
- Current value
- $132.77
- Potential payout
- $150.02
- Potential profit
- $17.25
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $55.83
Yes position
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.5%
- Current value
- $15.68
- Potential payout
- $150
- Potential profit
- $134.33
- Multiplier
- 9.57x
- User PnL
- -$3.38
Yes position
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 17.5%
- Current value
- $17.5
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $82.5
- Multiplier
- 5.71x
- User PnL
- -$4.5
Yes position
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-19?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.3%
- Current value
- $4.25
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $95.75
- Multiplier
- 23.53x
- User PnL
- $0.65
Yes position
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-21?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.5%
- Current value
- $11.5
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $88.5
- Multiplier
- 8.70x
- User PnL
- $0.5
Yes position
Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$11
Yes position
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11?
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$11
Yes position
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Current value
- $8.5
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $91.5
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- $0.5
Yes position
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-25?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.5%
- Current value
- $5.5
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $94.5
- Multiplier
- 18.18x
- User PnL
- $0.5
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
DeepSeek V4 released by March 15?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.99K
No position
DeepSeek V4 released by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.16K
No position
DeepSeek V4 released by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $4.39K
No position
DeepSeek V4 released by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $4.2K
No position
DeepSeek V4 released by February 28?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.61K
Yes position
DeepSeek V4 released by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.65K
No position
DeepSeek V4 released by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $996.1
No position
GPT-5.3 released by February 28, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $327.86
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $200
Yes position
DeepSeek V4 released by March 15?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $183
No position
DeepSeek V4 released by March 21?
Ends Mar 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $180.53
Yes position
GPT-5.5 released by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $108.71
No position
Will Trump visit China by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $84.7
Yes position
GPT-5.3 released by February 28, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $78.5
No position
DeepSeek V4 released by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $58.08
Yes position
Will Atlético Madrid reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $49
Yes position
GPT-5.3 released by February 20, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $43.67
Yes position
GPT-5.5 released by April 23, 2026?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14
Yes position
DeepSeek V4 released by March 21?
Ends Mar 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $10.36
Yes position
DeepSeek V4 released by February 28?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $9.93
Yes position
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.7%
- Multiplier
- 60.61x
- User PnL
- $8
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.8
No position
Will Arsenal win a trophy this season?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $6.33
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- World Cup: Unbeaten Champion?Yes 76% 200 shares
- World Cup: Unbeaten Champion?Yes 76% 100 shares
- World Cup: Ronaldo to Score 2+ Penalties?No 58% 50 shares
- Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 6.3% 1,000 shares
- World Cup: Unbeaten Champion?Yes 76% 100 shares
- SpaceX IPO: Closing Price Up/Down End of First Month?Up 88% 50 shares
- Will Luis Javier Suárez score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 28% 23 shares
- Will Michael Olise score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 21% 30 shares
- Will Lionel Messi score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 11% 30 shares
- Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-25?Yes 5% 100 shares
- Will Ecuador vs. Curaçao end in a draw?Yes 9% 100 shares
- Will South Africa win on 2026-06-18?Yes 21% 100 shares