Yes position
Will Israel strike 3 countries in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $4.76
Polymarket Trader
Fieryftyd
0x0b886e6bcaa17c7c1d84f8c5c28b28e314ba419b
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $0
- Realized PnL
- $17.67
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Latest Resolved Positions
No open position details returned
This trader has an open-position count, but open position cards are not available yet. Showing their latest closed positions instead.
Yes position
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- User PnL
- $2.24
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 70.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.42x
- User PnL
- $2.13
Yes position
Will another candidate win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?
Ends Dec 8, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.03
VCU position
VCU vs. George Washington
Ends Feb 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.68
Yes position
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 33.2%
- Multiplier
- 3.01x
- User PnL
- $0.88
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Israel strike 3 countries in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $4.76
Yes position
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- User PnL
- $2.24
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 70.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.42x
- User PnL
- $2.13
Yes position
Will another candidate win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?
Ends Dec 8, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.03
VCU position
VCU vs. George Washington
Ends Feb 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.68
Yes position
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 33.2%
- Multiplier
- 3.01x
- User PnL
- $0.88
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.66
No position
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.64
Yes position
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.45
Yes position
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.36
No position
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.32
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.27
Yes position
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.2
No position
Will Charlotte FC win the 2026 MLS Cup?
Ends Dec 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.7%
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $0.18
Yes position
Israel closes its airspace by May 8?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.15
No position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 82.1%
- Multiplier
- 1.22x
- User PnL
- $0.14
Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 12.3%
- Multiplier
- 8.16x
- User PnL
- $0.12
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.4%
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $0.08
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.08
Yes position
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 39.4%
- Multiplier
- 2.54x
- User PnL
- $0.08
Yes position
Greece x Turkey military engagement by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.07
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.06
No position
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Will Joao Fonseca win the 2026 Men's French Open?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No 50% 3 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?No 96.9% 13 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No 47% 69.16 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No 45% 73 shares
- Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes 13% 36 shares
- Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No 87% 8 shares
- Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No 87% 39 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by July 31?No 84% 45 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by July 31?No 84% 45 shares
- China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?No 91% 41 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?Yes 3.7% 76 shares
- Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?No 87% 9 shares