Polymarket Trader

MilliChad

0x0b8baf36e2176658169c019104fb6b1cd99d2183

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.08K
Realized PnL: $3.21K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.75K
Potential profit: $5.75K
User PnL: -$34.94

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 23%
Current value: $321.3
Potential payout: $1.4K
Potential profit: $1.08K
Multiplier: 4.36x
User PnL: $0.7

Yes position

Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SEX?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.2K
Potential profit: $1.2K
User PnL: -$156

Paul position

Who will win Jake Paul vs Anthony Joshua?

Ends Dec 19, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.09K
Potential profit: $1.09K
User PnL: -$175

Yes position

Elon Musk trillionaire in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $903.57
Potential profit: $903.57
User PnL: -$25.42

Yes position

Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $899.99
Potential profit: $899.99
User PnL: -$138

Yes position

Will Tesla deliver between 450000 and 475000 vehicles in Q4 2025

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $697.36
Potential profit: $697.36
User PnL: -$123

Yes position

Will Elon Musk change his X profile picture by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $643.83
Potential profit: $643.83
User PnL: -$375.49

Yes position

Will OpenAI have the top AI model on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $577.31
Potential profit: $577.31
User PnL: -$62.8

No position

Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $577.14
Potential profit: $577.14
User PnL: -$202

Yes position

Lighter Airdrop on December 29?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $487.21
Potential profit: $487.21
User PnL: -$200

Yes position

Will Jensen Huang be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $478
Potential profit: $478
User PnL: -$79.48

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $456.92
Potential profit: $456.92
User PnL: -$27

No position

Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau engaged by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 63.5%
Current value: $257.26
Potential payout: $405.13
Potential profit: $147.87
Multiplier: 1.57x
User PnL: -$55.74

Yes position

Will anyone be charged over Daycare fraud in Minnesota by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $400
User PnL: -$234

No position

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 94.3%
Current value: $377
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $23
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $15

Yes position

Will Solana reach $310 before 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $384.62
Potential profit: $384.62
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Record crypto liquidation in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 7%
Current value: $26.6
Potential payout: $380
Potential profit: $353.4
Multiplier: 14.29x
User PnL: -$74

Yes position

Will Trump meet with Pope Leo XIV in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $375.18
Potential profit: $375.18
User PnL: -$47

Yes position

Will Donald Trump visit China in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $325
Potential profit: $325
User PnL: -$22

Yes position

Hyperliquid all time high by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $300.01
Potential profit: $300.01
User PnL: -$216

Yes position

Will Trump meet with Putin by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $300
User PnL: -$90

Conor McGregor position

UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 33.5%
Current value: $100.5
Potential payout: $299.99
Potential profit: $199.5
Multiplier: 2.99x
User PnL: $4.5

Yes position

Will SpaceX's public ticker be $X?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $267.05
Potential profit: $267.05
User PnL: -$222.49

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yan position

UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan (Bantamweight, Main Card)

Ends Dec 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $305.99

Yes position

Will Kabuto 1st Edition card hit $100 by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $262.15

Yes position

Lighter Airdrop on December 30?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $224.67

No position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $222.22

Yes position

No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $210.7

Yes position

US x Venezuela military engagement by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $188.77

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $153.8

Yes position

Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $152

Yes position

Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $134.49

No position

Maduro mugshot released by January 9?

Ends Jan 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $127

Pinto position

Diniz vs. Pinto

Ends Oct 18, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $112.7

Yes position

Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $106.32

No position

Will Monad perform an airdrop by October 31?

Ends Nov 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $105.85

No position

US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $105.74

Yes position

Will Tesla (TSLA) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Oct 22, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $100.05

No position

Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 23.5%
Multiplier: 4.26x
User PnL: $99.98

Yes position

Will Tesla (TSLA) hit $460 before 2026??

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $89.04

Yes position

OpenAI browser by October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $83.2

49ers position

49ers vs. Rams

Ends Oct 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $79

Yes position

Monad market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $74.79

Yes position

Will Liverpool win on 2025-11-01?

Ends Nov 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $72.41

No position

Will Trump release the Epstein files by November 30?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $69.47

No position

Solana all time high before 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $65.54

No position

MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $60.78

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?

Yes 99.6% 202.12 shares
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?

Yes 99.9% 200 shares
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 98% 102.04 shares
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 98.1% 101.94 shares
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 98.4% 101.63 shares
Will Venezuela become 51st state?

No 95.6% 65.1 shares
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?

No 96.4% 518.67 shares
Nikita Bier out as Head of Product at X by March 31?

No 99.3% 100 shares
Will Tesla release Optimus by June 30, 2026?

No 92.6% 108.02 shares
Will Clavicular be Iran's next Supreme Leader by March 31st?

No 99.9% 100.79 shares
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March?

No 98.7% 102.47 shares
Backpack FDV above $5B one day after launch?

No 99.9% 100.98 shares