No position
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- Current value
- $3.69K
- Potential payout
- $3.7K
- Potential profit
- $18.52
- User PnL
- $328.32
Polymarket Trader
ba19001
0x0b9653bff48b6c93430f0b2a9b95159b80a078cf
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $4.18K
- Realized PnL
- $589.4
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 7
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Current value
- $281.28
- Potential payout
- $325.18
- Potential profit
- $43.9
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $49.91
No position
Will Russia capture Sumy by March 31, 2027?
Ends Mar 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $106.71
- Potential payout
- $121.95
- Potential profit
- $15.24
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $6.71
Yes position
Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.5%
- Current value
- $10.55
- Potential payout
- $72.73
- Potential profit
- $62.18
- Multiplier
- 6.90x
- User PnL
- -$29.45
No position
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.8%
- Current value
- $55.03
- Potential payout
- $58.7
- Potential profit
- $3.67
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 88%
- Current value
- $37.3
- Potential payout
- $42.38
- Potential profit
- $5.09
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $2.3
No position
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 20.3%
- Current value
- $6.07
- Potential payout
- $30
- Potential profit
- $23.92
- Multiplier
- 4.94x
- User PnL
- -$20.07
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $145.26
No position
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Ends Oct 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $76.54
No position
Will Russia announce a Christmas truce?
Ends Jan 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $72.32
No position
U.S. strike on Nigeria by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $62.81
No position
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $32.07
No position
U.S. strike on Nigeria by December 31, 2025?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.61
No position
US forces enter Iran by January 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.44
No position
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.8
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.67
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.94
No position
US strike on Syria by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.64
No position
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- User PnL
- $13.28
No position
US strikes Iran by January 11, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12
No position
Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by January 15?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.37
No position
Will Trump visit Pakistan by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.52
No position
Zelenskyy wears a suit and tie during next Trump meeting?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.7
No position
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.3
No position
Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- User PnL
- $6.91
No position
Another US strike on Venezuela by January 10?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.96
No position
NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine in June 30, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.95
No position
Will Trump visit China by March 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.93
No position
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.52
No position
Will the International Court of Justice win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Ends Oct 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.9%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $4.34
No position
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.54
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 91% 3,424.76 shares
- Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No 97.1% 1,736.72 shares
- Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No 91% 1,863.58 shares
- Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No 93.1% 780.92 shares
- Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No 92.1% 604.87 shares
- Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2026?No 97.3% 111.28 shares
- Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by June 30, 2026?No 97.9% 349.7 shares
- NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine in June 30, 2026?No 98% 108.1 shares
- Xi Jinping out before 2027?No 93.7% 58.7 shares
- Will the International Court of Justice win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No 97.7% 55.62 shares
- Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 86% 279.07 shares
- Will Trump visit Pakistan by May 31?No 98.9% 244.21 shares