No position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.33K
- Potential profit
- $3.33K
- User PnL
- -$72.04
Polymarket Trader
deuce1
0x0bb08f1b519093c123d7e7ee5f77ba513aa05a3a
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $699.27
- Realized PnL
- $728.29
- Win rate
- 94.1%
- Open positions
- 7
- Closed positions
- 17
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 72.5%
- Current value
- $210.14
- Potential payout
- $289.86
- Potential profit
- $79.71
- Multiplier
- 1.38x
- User PnL
- $10.15
No position
US x Cuba military clash in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 69%
- Current value
- $190.32
- Potential payout
- $275.87
- Potential profit
- $85.55
- Multiplier
- 1.45x
- User PnL
- $30.32
No position
Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 54.5%
- Current value
- $93.97
- Potential payout
- $172.41
- Potential profit
- $78.45
- Multiplier
- 1.83x
- User PnL
- -$6.03
No position
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 69.5%
- Current value
- $118.49
- Potential payout
- $170.51
- Potential profit
- $52.02
- Multiplier
- 1.44x
- User PnL
- $18.49
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $169.84
- Potential profit
- $169.84
- User PnL
- -$107
No position
Italy Senate approves Nuclear Power Bill by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 57%
- Current value
- $86.36
- Potential payout
- $151.53
- Potential profit
- $65.17
- Multiplier
- 1.75x
- User PnL
- -$13.64
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Italy Judicial Reform Referendum passes?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $109.15
No position
Will another country recognize Somaliland by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $108.12
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $64.53
Yes position
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $64.3
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $53.28
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $46.64
Yes position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?
Ends May 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40.57
No position
Israel strike on Yemen by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40.33
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40.09
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $32.61
Yes position
Will Donald Trump attend NATO Summit?
Ends Jul 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30.69
No position
Will Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia occur by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.41
No position
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.66
No position
North Korea missile test/launch by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.51
No position
Another US strike on Venezuela by December 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $19.84
No position
Iran coup attempt by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.19
No position
China x Japan military clash before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- -$0.65
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?No 58% 172.41 shares
- Italy Senate approves Nuclear Power Bill by August 31?No 66% 151.53 shares
- Will Donald Trump attend NATO Summit?Yes 90.7% 144.09 shares
- Will another country recognize Somaliland by June 30?No 96.4% 333.11 shares
- Will Donald Trump attend NATO Summit?Yes 69.4% 144.1 shares
- US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?No 97.9% 309.78 shares
- US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?No 63% 169.84 shares
- US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?No 80.7% 309.79 shares
- Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?Yes 99.9% 340.9 shares
- Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?Yes 88% 340.91 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?No 89.7% 316.61 shares
- Iran coup attempt by June 30?No 89% 319.2 shares