No position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.81K
- Potential profit
- $1.81K
- User PnL
- -$1.81
Polymarket Trader
0x0Bce6345bF1B3f4D1552FcF9F2DcfE8f030cA6a8-1777049134221
0x0bce6345bf1b3f4d1552fcf9f2dcfe8f030ca6a8
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $42.7
- Realized PnL
- $32.61
- Win rate
- 50%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 4
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
GTA 6 launch postponed again?
Ends Nov 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $11.88
- Potential payout
- $125
- Potential profit
- $113.13
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- $1.88
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $54.73
- Potential profit
- $54.73
- User PnL
- -$30
N
No position
Iran full airspace closure by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 72.5%
- Current value
- $19.19
- Potential payout
- $26.47
- Potential profit
- $7.28
- Multiplier
- 1.38x
- User PnL
- -$0.81
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 76.5%
- Current value
- $10.93
- Potential payout
- $14.29
- Potential profit
- $3.36
- Multiplier
- 1.31x
- User PnL
- $0.93
Yes position
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.5%
- Current value
- $0.7
- Potential payout
- $6.67
- Potential profit
- $5.97
- Multiplier
- 9.52x
- User PnL
- -$0.3
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.67
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?
Ends Apr 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.27
Yes position
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 56%
- Multiplier
- 1.79x
- User PnL
- -$0.33
No position
Will Russia enter Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Iran full airspace closure by July 31?No 75.5% 26.47 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?No 70% 14.29 shares
- GTA 6 launch postponed again?Yes 8% 125 shares
- Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by June 30, 2026?No 0.1% 1,810 shares
- Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes 55% 2.98 shares
- Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?Yes 15% 6.67 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 48% 41.67 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 59% 33.9 shares
- Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes 66% 2.98 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 48% 20.83 shares
- Will Russia enter Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by April 30?No 9.5% 105.5 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?No 48.5% 41.27 shares