No position
QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.63K
- Potential profit
- $2.63K
- User PnL
- -$21
Polymarket Trader
narua
0x0bd0615e1b600723d3d9408130e4a9b870fd67b0
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $4.31K
- Realized PnL
- $2.88K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 12
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.8%
- Current value
- $1.5K
- Potential payout
- $1.68K
- Potential profit
- $189.56
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $96.43
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $788.87
- Potential payout
- $862.15
- Potential profit
- $73.28
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $88.87
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 74.5%
- Current value
- $366.86
- Potential payout
- $492.42
- Potential profit
- $125.57
- Multiplier
- 1.34x
- User PnL
- $7.86
No position
Will Keir Starmer be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 82.5%
- Current value
- $330.44
- Potential payout
- $400.53
- Potential profit
- $70.09
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- $1.44
No position
Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 75.5%
- Current value
- $298.03
- Potential payout
- $394.74
- Potential profit
- $96.71
- Multiplier
- 1.32x
- User PnL
- -$1.97
Yes position
Starmer out by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.5%
- Current value
- $298.26
- Potential payout
- $348.84
- Potential profit
- $50.58
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- -$1.74
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $301.72
- Potential payout
- $344.83
- Potential profit
- $43.1
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $1.72
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by May 27?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $300
- User PnL
- -$3
Yes position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 70.5%
- Current value
- $201.43
- Potential payout
- $285.71
- Potential profit
- $84.29
- Multiplier
- 1.42x
- User PnL
- $1.43
N
No position
Will there be 60 or more average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.2%
- Current value
- $206.51
- Potential payout
- $214.67
- Potential profit
- $8.16
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $6.51
Yes position
Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 64.5%
- Current value
- $18.7
- Potential payout
- $28.99
- Potential profit
- $10.29
- Multiplier
- 1.55x
- User PnL
- -$1.3
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $937.71
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $348.8
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $230.71
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $223.85
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $130.2
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $130.14
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 16?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $113.88
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 18?
Ends May 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $88.68
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $78.11
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $72.25
Yes position
Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $58.27
Y
Yes position
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $54.92
No position
US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $52.87
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $49.12
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $45.78
Yes position
Will SpaceX IPO by September 30, 2026?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $45.68
N
No position
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 93%
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $36.66
Yes position
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 64.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.55x
- User PnL
- $34.73
No position
US strikes Iran by February 22, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $34.24
No position
US strikes Iran by February 25, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $32.38
No position
Iran leadership change by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.07
No position
Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.14
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $170 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.83
No position
Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 22, 2026?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.07
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Keir Starmer be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election?No 82.5% 121.26 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes 97.5% 18.88 shares
- Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?No 92.3% 256.41 shares
- Will Keir Starmer be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election?No 82% 35.37 shares
- Will Keir Starmer be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election?No 82% 243.9 shares
- Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?Yes 69% 28.99 shares
- Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by June 30?Yes 90.2% 22.13 shares
- Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by June 30?Yes 90.4% 22.14 shares
- Starmer out by July 31, 2026?Yes 86% 348.84 shares
- Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?No 76% 394.74 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes 87% 344.83 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?Yes 70% 285.71 shares