a5DYXQMGEE

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $227.5
Potential payout: $65K
Potential profit: $64.77K
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$197.47

Yes position

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 5.3%
Current value: $525
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $9.48K
Multiplier: 19.05x
User PnL: -$78

Yes position

Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 1.2%
Current value: $57.5
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $4.94K
Multiplier: 86.96x
User PnL: -$6

Yes position

Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $7.5
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $4.99K
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$42.5

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 13.9%
Current value: $415.5
Potential payout: $3K
Potential profit: $2.58K
Multiplier: 7.22x
User PnL: $4.5

Yes position

Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 1.8%
Current value: $43.75
Potential payout: $2.5K
Potential profit: $2.46K
Multiplier: 57.14x
User PnL: -$6.25

Yes position

Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 1.5%
Current value: $36.25
Potential payout: $2.5K
Potential profit: $2.46K
Multiplier: 68.97x
User PnL: -$1.25

Yes position

Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $767.77
Potential profit: $767.77
User PnL: -$255.06

No position

Will GameStop acquire eBay?

Implied probability: 86.5%
Current value: $519
Potential payout: $600
Potential profit: $81
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $10.5

Yes position

Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 11.5%
Current value: $60.33
Potential payout: $524.57
Potential profit: $464.24
Multiplier: 8.70x
User PnL: $7.9

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$35

Yes position

Will Ricardo Belmont win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.25
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $499.75
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$7.25

Yes position

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 20.7%
Current value: $82.8
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $317.2
Multiplier: 4.83x
User PnL: -$52.2

Yes position

Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 80.5%
Current value: $322
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $78
Multiplier: 1.24x
User PnL: -$18

Yes position

Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 1.0% and 1.5%?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $367.8
Potential profit: $367.8
User PnL: -$42.01

Yes position

Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be less than 1.0%?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $340.81
Potential profit: $340.81
User PnL: -$25.41

Yes position

Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be greater than 3.5%?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $327.4
Potential profit: $327.4
User PnL: -$40.14

Yes position

Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 3.0% and 3.5%?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $326.6
Potential profit: $326.6
User PnL: -$47.43

Yes position

Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 1.5% and 2.0%?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $326.51
Potential profit: $326.51
User PnL: -$28.67

No position

Netanyahu out by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.7%
Current value: $298.95
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $1.05
User PnL: $34.95

Yes position

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $270.6
Potential profit: $270.6
User PnL: -$11.61

Yes position

Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 2.5% and 3.0%?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $247.47
Potential profit: $247.47
User PnL: -$30.07

No position

Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $245
Potential profit: $245
User PnL: -$151.6

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $462.52

Yes position

Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 3%
Multiplier: 33.90x
User PnL: $357.81

Yes position

Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by March 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $274.67

Yes position

Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.5%?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $273.08

Yes position

Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 58.7%
Multiplier: 1.71x
User PnL: $270.78

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 15.8%
Multiplier: 6.35x
User PnL: $160.57

Yes position

Will George Russell get pole position at the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $138.8

Yes position

Will Andrea Kimi Antonelli get pole position at the 2026 F1 Chinese Grand Prix?

Ends Mar 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $124.5

Raptors position

Cavaliers vs. Raptors

Ends Apr 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $112.5

Raptors position

Cavaliers vs. Raptors

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $111.02

No position

Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $87.97

Nuggets position

Timberwolves vs. Nuggets

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $87.97

Hornets position

Hornets vs. Wizards

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $80.16

Yes position

Will George Russell achieve pole position in Sprint Qualifying at the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $79.2

Yes position

Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 99%
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $79

Yes position

Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 5.5%
Multiplier: 18.35x
User PnL: $55

No position

Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Rhineland-Palatinate parliamentary elections?

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $47.3

No position

Will Trump’s Greenland Tariffs go into effect for France by Feburary 1?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $45.7

Yes position

Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Australian Grand Prix?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $45

No position

Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 60% on the FrontierMath Benchmark by?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $38.74

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35.2

No position

Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
User PnL: $35.1

No position

Will 'Clair Obscur: Expedition 33' win Game of the Year in the 2025 Steam Awards?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32.5

Yes position

Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?