Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?
Ends Jan 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $86
- Potential profit
- $86
- User PnL
- -$43
Polymarket Trader
EmberSpark02
0x0bfd5f859aae9b3f4c3bfb86d317db06f869c83d
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $0
- Realized PnL
- $54.69
- Win rate
- 87.5%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 16
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?
Ends Jan 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $42.91
No position
Will China unban Bitcoin by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.06
No position
Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.7
Yes position
Bitcoin all time high by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.51
Yes position
Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.41
Yes position
Will Bitcoin hit $250k in 2024?
Ends Dec 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.3
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.9
No position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.81
No position
MetaMask airdrop in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.22
Yes position
Will Biden finish his term?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.17
No position
Tether Insolvent in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.11
No position
Will FTX payouts start in Q4 2024?
Ends Dec 29, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.08
No position
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will Kamala Harris be inaugurated?
Ends Dec 20, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Ethereum hit $10k in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will 'Joker 2' gross most in 2024?
Ends Dec 29, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.5
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?Yes 98.8% 75 shares
- Will China unban Bitcoin by March 31?No 97.8% 139.28 shares
- Bitcoin all time high by June 30?Yes 93% 21.51 shares
- Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?Yes 99.1% 156.23 shares
- MetaMask airdrop in 2024?No 97.8% 10.22 shares
- Will FTX payouts start in Q4 2024?No 98.7% 6.08 shares
- Will 'Joker 2' gross most in 2024?Yes 0.1% 500 shares
- Will 'Joker 2' gross most in 2024?Yes 0.2% 500 shares
- Will Kamala Harris be inaugurated?No 97.7% 143.29 shares
- Israel x Hamas ceasefire in 2024?No 80% 10.14 shares
- OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI in 2024?No 97.1% 7.21 shares
- Will Kamala Harris be inaugurated?No 97.7% 143.3 shares