Yes position
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.8%
- Current value
- $4.13
- Potential payout
- $110
- Potential profit
- $105.88
- Multiplier
- 26.67x
- User PnL
- $0.27
Polymarket Trader
strangeduck2
0x0c153bcbbced5e9642be8be92d3d69b7165603de
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $19.65
- Realized PnL
- $222.95
- Win rate
- 66.7%
- Open positions
- 10
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will global temperature increase by less than 1.10ºC in April 2026?
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$0.9
No position
Will global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Current value
- $12.5
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $87.5
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.5
No position
Will global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in May 2026?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $80
- Potential profit
- $80
- User PnL
- -$25.3
Yes position
Will global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in April 2026?
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $59.99
- Potential profit
- $59.99
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will 2026 be the third-hottest year on record?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.5%
- Current value
- $1.25
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $48.75
- Multiplier
- 40.00x
- User PnL
- -$8.75
Yes position
Will global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.5%
- Current value
- $1.77
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $48.23
- Multiplier
- 28.25x
- User PnL
- $0.37
Yes position
Will global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in April 2026?
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$5
No position
Will global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in April 2026?
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $40
- Potential profit
- $40
- User PnL
- -$20.8
Yes position
Will global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in May 2026?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $9.08
- Potential profit
- $9.08
- User PnL
- -$0.64
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will global temperature increase by between 1.05ºC and 1.09ºC in December 2025?
Ends Jan 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $101.78
Yes position
Will global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in February 2026?
Ends Mar 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $42.85
Yes position
2025 September second hottest on record?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.35
Yes position
Will global temperature increase by between 1.25ºC and 1.29ºC in March 2026?
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.6
Yes position
Will 2026 be the fourth-hottest year on record?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.8%
- Multiplier
- 35.71x
- User PnL
- $14
Yes position
Will global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- $10
Yes position
Will global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in October 2025?
Ends Nov 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.98
Yes position
Will 2025 be the second hottest year on record?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6
No position
Will global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in April 2026?
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.52
Yes position
Will global temperature increase by more than 1.19ºC in September 2025?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5
Yes position
Will global temperature increase by between 1.05ºC and 1.09ºC in January 2026?
Ends Feb 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.35
Yes position
US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.8
Yes position
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-01-20?
Ends Jan 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.8
No position
Will global temperature increase by between 1.05ºC and 1.09ºC in February 2026?
Ends Mar 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.74
No position
Will global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in May 2026?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.53
Yes position
Will November 2025 be the 3rd hottest on record?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.5
Yes position
Will global temperature increase by more than 1.29ºC in March 2026?
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.75
Yes position
Will global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in March 2026?
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.88
Yes position
Will December 2025 be the 3rd hottest on record?
Ends Jan 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will global temperature increase by more than 1.29ºC in October 2025?
Ends Nov 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2
No position
Will March 2026 be the 4th or lower hottest on record?
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in May 2026?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.8
Yes position
Will global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in January 2026?
Ends Feb 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$4.98
Yes position
Will global temperature increase by more than 1.19ºC in January 2026?
Ends Feb 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5.45
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in June 2026?Yes 2.8% 29.57 shares
- Will global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in May 2026?No 20% 50 shares
- Will global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in May 2026?Yes 6% 50 shares
- Will global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in May 2026?No 51% 30 shares
- Will global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in May 2026?Yes 7% 8 shares
- Will global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in April 2026?Yes 10% 40 shares
- Will global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in April 2026?No 58% 23 shares
- Will March 2026 be the 4th or lower hottest on record?No 2% 7 shares
- Will global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in March 2026?Yes 7.5% 25 shares
- Will global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in March 2026?Yes 17% 5 shares
- Will global temperature increase by between 1.05ºC and 1.09ºC in February 2026?No 85.3% 20 shares
- Will global temperature increase by between 1.05ºC and 1.09ºC in February 2026?No 95.3% 50 shares