No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.2K
- Potential profit
- $2.2K
- User PnL
- -$837.32
Polymarket Trader
0x0c158b14900Aa6aDc02b863aCFb70108377F4268-1773648220647
0x0c158b14900aa6adc02b863acfb70108377f4268
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $426.49
- Realized PnL
- $21.88
- Win rate
- 50%
- Open positions
- 15
- Closed positions
- 4
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $812.42
- Potential profit
- $812.42
- User PnL
- -$295.81
Yes position
Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.7%
- Current value
- $26.23
- Potential payout
- $564.12
- Potential profit
- $537.89
- Multiplier
- 21.51x
- User PnL
- -$43.77
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $562.22
- Potential profit
- $562.22
- User PnL
- -$150
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $379.62
- Potential profit
- $379.62
- User PnL
- -$150
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $338.89
- Potential profit
- $338.89
- User PnL
- -$150
No position
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 79%
- Current value
- $227.57
- Potential payout
- $288.06
- Potential profit
- $60.49
- Multiplier
- 1.27x
- User PnL
- $27.57
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $268.71
- Potential profit
- $268.71
- User PnL
- -$150
No position
AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 20%
- Current value
- $48.78
- Potential payout
- $243.9
- Potential profit
- $195.12
- Multiplier
- 5.00x
- User PnL
- -$151.22
No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $166.67
- Potential profit
- $166.67
- User PnL
- -$50
No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $111.11
- Potential profit
- $111.11
- User PnL
- -$50
No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $90.91
- Potential profit
- $90.91
- User PnL
- -$50
No position
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87%
- Current value
- $55.06
- Potential payout
- $63.29
- Potential profit
- $8.23
- Multiplier
- 1.15x
- User PnL
- $5.06
No position
Will OpenAI announce glasses in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 79.5%
- Current value
- $46.22
- Potential payout
- $58.14
- Potential profit
- $11.92
- Multiplier
- 1.26x
- User PnL
- -$3.78
No position
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $22.62
- Potential payout
- $22.62
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $2.71
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.97
Yes position
US military draft authorized in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- $16.67
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$1.76
Illinois Fighting Illini position
Connecticut Huskies vs. Illinois Fighting Illini
Ends Apr 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$25
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?No 28.5% 130.95 shares
- Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?No 38.8% 1,545.56 shares
- Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures?Yes 13.6% 147.45 shares
- US military draft authorized in 2026?Yes 12% 555.55 shares
- Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?No 33% 745.75 shares
- Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?No 38% 526.85 shares
- U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?No 69.4% 288.06 shares
- AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?No 82% 243.9 shares
- Will OpenAI announce glasses in 2026?No 86% 58.14 shares
- OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?No 79% 63.29 shares
- Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?No 88% 22.62 shares
- Connecticut Huskies vs. Illinois Fighting IlliniIllinois Fighting Illini 55% 44.84 shares