Polymarket Trader

0x0c21661b7b1F474914d3E77DF65700B341aA2A53-1726558601666

0x0c21661b7b1f474914d3e77df65700b341aa2a53

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $9.69K
Realized PnL: -$2.16K
Win rate: 20%
Open positions: 14
Closed positions: 5
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 6.4%
Current value: $3.31K
Potential payout: $51.7K
Potential profit: $48.39K
Multiplier: 15.63x
User PnL: $448.75

No position

Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase June 2-8?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $41K
Potential profit: $41K
User PnL: -$4.05K

Yes position

Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $3.81K
Potential payout: $26.26K
Potential profit: $22.46K
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: -$542.99

Yes position

Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 2.3%
Current value: $535.71
Potential payout: $23.81K
Potential profit: $23.27K
Multiplier: 44.44x
User PnL: $35.74

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 10.5%
Current value: $1.07K
Potential payout: $10.2K
Potential profit: $9.14K
Multiplier: 9.57x
User PnL: $66.34

Yes position

Will Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion?

Ends Dec 7, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.74K
Potential profit: $9.74K
User PnL: -$494.99

Yes position

Will Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion?

Ends Dec 7, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.44K
Potential profit: $9.44K
User PnL: -$2K

Yes position

Trump out as President in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.08K
Potential profit: $8.08K
User PnL: -$1.05K

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting?

Ends Jul 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.83K
Potential profit: $6.83K
User PnL: -$1.5K

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?

Ends Sep 17, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.8K
Potential profit: $5.8K
User PnL: -$1.01K

No position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.43K
Potential profit: $4.43K
User PnL: -$199.6

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 13.6%
Current value: $418.21
Potential payout: $3.09K
Potential profit: $2.67K
Multiplier: 7.38x
User PnL: -$81.79

Yes position

Will Jonas Vingegaard win the Tour de France 2025?

Ends Jul 27, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.03K
Potential profit: $3.03K
User PnL: -$529.21

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 18.5%
Current value: $550.42
Potential payout: $2.98K
Potential profit: $2.43K
Multiplier: 5.42x
User PnL: $50.42

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after May 2025 meeting?

Ends May 7, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.29K

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after July 2025 meeting?

Ends Jul 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$339.08

Yes position

Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$731.71

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after June 2025 meeting?

Ends Jun 18, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$919.19

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after May 2025 meeting?

Ends May 7, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.45K

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 16.2% 3,086.42 shares
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 2.1% 23,809.52 shares
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 16.8% 2,983.3 shares
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 9.8% 10,204.08 shares
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Yes 7% 6,580.75 shares
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Yes 6% 33,737.75 shares
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?

Yes 19% 6,042 shares
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?

Yes 17.6% 5,964.97 shares
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?

Yes 15% 3,600.14 shares
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?

No 4.5% 4,430.74 shares
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion?

Yes 5.1% 9,739.88 shares
Will Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion?

Yes 21.2% 9,444.68 shares