Yes position
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $7.4
- Potential payout
- $2.47K
- Potential profit
- $2.46K
- Multiplier
- 333.33x
- User PnL
- -$58.59
Polymarket Trader
rauschcopy
0x0c2c9a1870df4a65378cb5976d338eb3bac3a31f
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $442.12
- Realized PnL
- $120.56
- Win rate
- 70%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 10
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.5%
- Current value
- $278.88
- Potential payout
- $2.43K
- Potential profit
- $2.15K
- Multiplier
- 8.70x
- User PnL
- $30.24
Yes position
Will Recep Tayyip Erdoğan be the next leader out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.67K
- Potential profit
- $1.67K
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $170 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.63K
- Potential profit
- $1.63K
- User PnL
- -$19.21
Yes position
Will Viktor Orbán be the next leader out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.26K
- Potential profit
- $1.26K
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $2.71
- Potential payout
- $1.08K
- Potential profit
- $1.08K
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$3.29
Yes position
Will Vladimir Putin be the next leader out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $792.65
- Potential profit
- $792.65
- User PnL
- -$6.39
Yes position
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Current value
- $51.19
- Potential payout
- $787.52
- Potential profit
- $736.33
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- -$7.81
Yes position
Netanyahu out by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.5%
- Current value
- $13.58
- Potential payout
- $554.15
- Potential profit
- $540.57
- Multiplier
- 40.82x
- User PnL
- -$1.42
Yes position
Will Emmanuel Macron be the next leader out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $333.33
- Potential profit
- $333.33
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $282.55
- Potential profit
- $282.55
- User PnL
- -$4.8
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $263.16
- Potential profit
- $263.16
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.8%
- Current value
- $14.38
- Potential payout
- $250
- Potential profit
- $235.63
- Multiplier
- 17.39x
- User PnL
- $4.38
Yes position
Will a Gulf State carry out military action against Iran by April 15, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$15.6
Yes position
Iran leadership change by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$15.5
Yes position
Will Ali Khamenei be the next leader out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $190.5
- Potential profit
- $190.5
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 16.5%
- Current value
- $27.23
- Potential payout
- $165
- Potential profit
- $137.78
- Multiplier
- 6.06x
- User PnL
- $2.23
Yes position
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.4%
- Current value
- $7.82
- Potential payout
- $146.23
- Potential profit
- $138.41
- Multiplier
- 18.69x
- User PnL
- -$12.18
Yes position
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.1%
- Current value
- $5.01
- Potential payout
- $123.71
- Potential profit
- $118.7
- Multiplier
- 24.69x
- User PnL
- -$6.99
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $117.27
- Potential profit
- $117.27
- User PnL
- -$4.81
Yes position
New pandemic in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $10.96
- Potential payout
- $115.38
- Potential profit
- $104.42
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$4.04
Yes position
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.2%
- Current value
- $10.15
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $89.85
- Multiplier
- 9.85x
- User PnL
- -$1.25
Yes position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 15.3%
- Current value
- $12.82
- Potential payout
- $84.03
- Potential profit
- $71.22
- Multiplier
- 6.56x
- User PnL
- $2.82
Yes position
Will a Gulf State carry out military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $83.33
- Potential profit
- $83.33
- User PnL
- -$5
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $115.4
Yes position
Viktor Orbán out by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.38
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.44
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET
Ends May 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.04
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET
Ends May 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET
Ends May 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.82
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.47
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET
Ends May 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET
Ends May 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$4
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Japan win on 2026-06-29?Yes 19% 52.63 shares
- Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Yes 9% 333.33 shares
- Netanyahu out by July 31?Yes 2.7% 554.15 shares
- Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 0.4% 250 shares
- Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 11.9% 84.03 shares
- Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Yes 9% 111.11 shares
- Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?Yes 7% 357.14 shares
- Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Yes 9% 277.78 shares
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?Yes 19.3% 51.75 shares
- Starmer out by June 30, 2026?No 11% 36.36 shares
- Starmer out by June 30, 2026?Yes 89% 170 shares
- Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Yes 9% 277.78 shares