No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $4.27K
- Potential payout
- $4.66K
- Potential profit
- $396.31
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $23.32
Polymarket Trader
CapybaraMacroRV
0x0c3694fe405d5203dab7eb40182e471ef656a9c1
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $4.27K
- Realized PnL
- $5.99K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Israel military action against Fordow nuclear facility by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $713
- Potential profit
- $713
- User PnL
- -$67.3
Yes position
Will Norway vs. France end in a draw?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $312.5
- Potential profit
- $312.5
- User PnL
- -$50
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.47K
No position
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $366.31
No position
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $353.86
No position
US strikes Iran by February 23, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $319.53
No position
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $271.98
Yes position
Will the US next strike Iran on January 16, 2026 (ET)?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $232.62
No position
Will UAE strike Iran by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $160
No position
US strikes Iran by February 5, 2026?
Ends Feb 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $150.3
No position
US strikes Iran by February 18, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $96
No position
Will the US next strike Iran on January 23, 2026 (ET)?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $87.59
No position
Israel military action against Fordow nuclear facility by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $73.3
No position
US strikes Iran by February 21, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $66.79
No position
US strikes Iran by January 17, 2026?
Ends Jan 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $48.2
No position
US strikes Iran by February 9, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $47.67
No position
US strikes Iran by February 2, 2026?
Ends Feb 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $44.5
Yes position
US strikes Iran by January 30, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $37.5
No position
US strikes Iran by February 3, 2026?
Ends Feb 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $36.29
No position
US strikes Iran by January 18, 2026?
Ends Jan 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $32.08
No position
Will the US next strike Iran on January 24, 2026 (ET)?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.3
No position
US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.94
No position
US strikes Iran by February 17, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.6
Yes position
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $12.75
Yes position
Will the US next strike Iran on January 23, 2026 (ET)?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $11.85
No position
Will the US next strike Iran on January 17, 2026 (ET)?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.42
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Norway vs. France end in a draw?Yes 16% 312.5 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No 90% 60 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No 91% 4,722.45 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?No 39.9% 908.33 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?No 50% 123.47 shares
- Israel military action against Fordow nuclear facility by April 30?Yes 10% 513 shares
- Israel military action against Fordow nuclear facility by April 15?No 90% 513 shares
- Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?Yes 19% 6,200 shares
- US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?No 86% 3,200 shares
- US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?Yes 0.3% 810 shares
- US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026?No 88% 1,500 shares
- Will the US next strike Iran on February 20, 2026 (ET)?No 96.2% 85 shares