No position
Will Dan Bilzerian be the Republican nominee for FL-06?
Ends Aug 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.7%
- Current value
- $2.92K
- Potential payout
- $2.99K
- Potential profit
- $70.35
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $46.46
Polymarket Trader
IKnowBetter
0x0c36bbf36fb5baa8bedea0dd6c1e28ac1743207d
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $4.51K
- Realized PnL
- $11.5K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 10
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $1
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $2K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 75.5%
- Current value
- $1.43K
- Potential payout
- $1.89K
- Potential profit
- $463.51
- Multiplier
- 1.32x
- User PnL
- $28.38
Yes position
Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?
Ends Aug 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.5%
- Current value
- $98.3
- Potential payout
- $1.79K
- Potential profit
- $1.69K
- Multiplier
- 18.18x
- User PnL
- -$116.88
Yes position
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $6.5
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $993.5
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- -$243.5
Yes position
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $855.98
- Potential profit
- $855.98
- User PnL
- -$325
Yes position
Will Spencer Pratt finish first in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-26?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 24.5%
- Current value
- $49
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $151
- Multiplier
- 4.08x
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by April 30?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$5
No position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $99.83
- Potential profit
- $99.83
- User PnL
- -$13.08
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.55K
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.35K
Yes position
Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.08K
No position
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by March 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.06K
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $938.6
Yes position
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $862.5
Yes position
Will US or Israel strike Iran by June 30, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $777.08
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $704.89
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $658.62
No position
Another US military action against Iran by Sunday?
Ends Jun 22, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $367.72
Yes position
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in August?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $345
No position
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $302.73
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $243.21
Yes position
US military action against Iran by Monday?
Ends Jun 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $194.11
Yes position
Will US or Israel strike Iran by March 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $179.8
Yes position
US military action against Iran before August?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $174.97
Yes position
US military action against Iran before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $167.67
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $136.3
No position
Will there be 14 or more inches of snow in NYC this weekend?
Ends Jan 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $101.13
Yes position
Will Trump meet with Putin by August 15?
Ends Aug 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $84.85
No position
Will Tulsi Gabbard resign by Friday?
Ends Jun 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $79.08
Yes position
Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $49.75
Yes position
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $45.4
No position
Will Nithya Raman finish first in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $44.07
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-26?Yes 25% 200 shares
- Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 0.1% 2,000 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 74% 1,891.89 shares
- Will Dan Bilzerian be the Republican nominee for FL-06?No 96.7% 1,344.59 shares
- Will Spencer Pratt finish first in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Yes 20% 500 shares
- Will Nithya Raman finish first in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?No 93% 463.94 shares
- Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?Yes 7% 100 shares
- Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?Yes 7% 300 shares
- Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?Yes 7.2% 300 shares
- Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?Yes 8.9% 80 shares
- Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?Yes 12% 9,967.1 shares
- Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?Yes 39% 128.21 shares