Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.4%
- Current value
- $740.99
- Potential payout
- $6K
- Potential profit
- $5.26K
- Multiplier
- 8.10x
- User PnL
- -$42.53
Polymarket Trader
xc4022
0x0c3e65c785df3d739b0c9f9fe8bcc05477fc502c
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $934.98
- Realized PnL
- $250.41K
- Win rate
- 66.7%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.1%
- Current value
- $181.51
- Potential payout
- $3K
- Potential profit
- $2.82K
- Multiplier
- 16.53x
- User PnL
- -$1.5
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.7%
- Current value
- $12.48
- Potential payout
- $12.91
- Potential profit
- $0.43
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $2.21
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.9%
- Multiplier
- 54.05x
- User PnL
- $54.98K
Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $42.1K
Yes position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $34.13K
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 34.4%
- Multiplier
- 2.91x
- User PnL
- $30.91K
Yes position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.4%
- Multiplier
- 29.85x
- User PnL
- $24.61K
Yes position
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 7%
- Multiplier
- 14.39x
- User PnL
- $20.51K
No position
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $19.55K
No position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $13.09K
Yes position
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.3%
- Multiplier
- 16.00x
- User PnL
- $10.61K
Yes position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 17.3%
- Multiplier
- 5.80x
- User PnL
- $7.27K
Yes position
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.58K
Yes position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.6%
- Multiplier
- 10.47x
- User PnL
- $1.22K
No position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.5%
- Multiplier
- 9.52x
- User PnL
- $1.09K
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 in March?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.2
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 in March?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.8
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 in March?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.5
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 6PM ET
Ends Feb 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 6PM ET
Ends Feb 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 44.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.25x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 55.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.80x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- -$1.17K
No position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.11x
- User PnL
- -$1.22K
No position
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$3.57K
No position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 82.8%
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- -$7.27K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 13.1% 3,000 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?No 23% 1,897 shares
- Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 9.6% 3,000 shares
- Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 83.2% 271.41 shares
- Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 11.3% 221.35 shares
- Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 83.9% 10 shares
- Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 11.2% 73.7 shares
- Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?No 96.1% 39,950.03 shares
- Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 in March?No 99.9% 100 shares
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?No 99.3% 348.86 shares
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?Yes 0.9% 1,165.85 shares
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?Yes 1% 10,000 shares