Polymarket Trader

hotmail69rasta

0x0c44b7f3ea96c489482516b6ead1ba97a225263c

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $18.63
Realized PnL: $21.36
Win rate: 83.3%
Open positions: 20
Closed positions: 6
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will "MINOTAUR by Andrey ZVYAGINTSEV" win Palme d'Or at the 2026 Cannes Film Festival?

Ends May 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $122.12
Potential profit: $122.12
User PnL: -$30

Yes position

Will Robert Golob be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $106.38
Potential profit: $106.38
User PnL: -$5

No position

Will Janez Janša be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $72.22
Potential profit: $72.22
User PnL: -$8

Yes position

Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $61.54
Potential profit: $61.54
User PnL: -$8

Yes position

Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 28%
Current value: $16.9
Potential payout: $60.37
Potential profit: $43.46
Multiplier: 3.57x
User PnL: $2.91

Yes position

Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $45.45
Potential profit: $45.45
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will "FATHERLAND by Pawel PAWLIKOWSKI" win Palme d'Or at the 2026 Cannes Film Festival?

Ends May 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $40
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Iran coup attempt by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 10.1%
Current value: $1.72
Potential payout: $17.14
Potential profit: $15.42
Multiplier: 9.95x
User PnL: -$1.28

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16.67
Potential profit: $16.67
User PnL: -$2

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15.68
Potential profit: $15.68
User PnL: -$2.82

Yes position

Callum Turner announced as next James Bond?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.29
Potential profit: $14.29
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Trump announce that the US x Iran ceasefire has been broken by April 14, 2026?

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.5
Potential profit: $12.5
User PnL: -$3

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.67
Potential profit: $10.67
User PnL: -$4.8

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET

Ends Apr 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.38
Potential profit: $10.38
User PnL: -$0.93

Yes position

Will Trump agree to Iranian Oil sanction relief in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$3

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET

Ends May 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.69
Potential profit: $7.69
User PnL: -$5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET

Ends Apr 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.78
Potential profit: $5.78
User PnL: -$2.89

No position

Another 7.0 or above earthquake by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.76
Potential profit: $4.76
User PnL: -$2

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.29
Potential profit: $3.29
User PnL: -$1.94

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.11

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.87

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.57

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.65

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.16

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?

Yes 20.3% 44.24 shares
Will "MINOTAUR by Andrey ZVYAGINTSEV" win Palme d'Or at the 2026 Cannes Film Festival?

Yes 24.6% 122.12 shares
Will "FATHERLAND by Pawel PAWLIKOWSKI" win Palme d'Or at the 2026 Cannes Film Festival?

Yes 25% 40 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET

Up 65% 7.69 shares
Will Janez Janša be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?

No 7.9% 63.13 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET

Up 50% 5.57 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET

Up 59% 3.19 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET

Up 9% 9.66 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

Yes 39% 14.28 shares
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?

No 43% 4.27 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET

Up 45% 10.23 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET

Down 18% 14.7 shares