No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $10,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 96.9%
- Current value
- $401.86
- Potential payout
- $414.93
- Potential profit
- $13.07
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $7.68
Polymarket Trader
horsedashuai
0x0c5cc83d11cc7d58f8d62025306549bd26bbdea0
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.09K
- Realized PnL
- $6.91
- Win rate
- 94.4%
- Open positions
- 13
- Closed positions
- 18
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the next government of Suriname be NDP/ABOP?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $333
- Potential profit
- $333
- User PnL
- -$0.33
No position
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.2%
- Current value
- $318.99
- Potential payout
- $325
- Potential profit
- $6.01
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $6.69
Yes position
Will the NYC Mayoral Democratic Primary be decided in round 4?
Ends Jun 24, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $300
- User PnL
- -$0.3
Yes position
Will Trump's 538 approval rating be below 45% on February 14?
Ends Feb 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $149.98
- Potential profit
- $149.98
- User PnL
- -$0.15
No position
Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- Current value
- $99.35
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $0.65
- User PnL
- $0.15
No position
Will Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 98.5%
- Current value
- $88.18
- Potential payout
- $89.52
- Potential profit
- $1.34
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $2.69
No position
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $39.98
- Potential payout
- $40
- Potential profit
- $0.02
- User PnL
- $0.1
No position
Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- Current value
- $32.75
- Potential payout
- $33
- Potential profit
- $0.25
- User PnL
- -$0.02
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Current value
- $31.17
- Potential payout
- $33
- Potential profit
- $1.83
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $2.13
No position
Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- Current value
- $26.12
- Potential payout
- $26.29
- Potential profit
- $0.17
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SEX?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $25
- Potential payout
- $25
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.2
No position
Extended FDV above $3B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 96.1%
- Current value
- $24.01
- Potential payout
- $25
- Potential profit
- $0.99
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- -$0.74
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Xi Jinping out in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.46
Yes position
Will a Republican win Texas in the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.16
No position
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.82
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.67
No position
Will Canada join US as 51st state in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.51
No position
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.43
No position
Will Trump deport Elon Musk in 2025?
Ends Dec 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.34
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in February?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.31
No position
US government Bitcoin reserves in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.26
No position
Base airdrop in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.26
No position
Will Ethereum hit $15k in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.25
No position
Trump in jail before inauguration?
Ends Jan 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.18
No position
Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.16
Yes position
Will Opinion launch a token by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.08
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $60K in July?
Ends Aug 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after July 2025 meeting?
Ends Jul 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will Xi Jinping be the first leader out in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will Brad Lander win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.02
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Bitcoin dip to $10,000 by December 31, 2026?No 95% 414.93 shares
- Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?No 95.9% 300 shares
- Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No 99.2% 100 shares
- Will Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026?No 95.5% 89.52 shares
- Will Opinion launch a token by December 31, 2026?Yes 99.8% 38 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in February?No 99.7% 102.25 shares
- Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No 99.3% 26.29 shares
- Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No 99.3% 33 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No 88% 33 shares
- Will Canada join US as 51st state in 2025?No 97.7% 22 shares
- Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31?No 98.7% 12 shares
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31?No 98% 12 shares