Polymarket Trader

river-baby

0x0c5d271e066dee3ac5b46c5936a9417a6d1931e5

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $146.39
Realized PnL: $0.23
Win rate: 50%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 4
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Under position

Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 1.5

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $70.59
Potential profit: $70.59
User PnL: -$9.88

Yes position

Will Panama advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $4.75
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $45.25
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: -$0.25

Yes position

Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.5T by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 12%
Current value: $5.85
Potential payout: $48.79
Potential profit: $42.93
Multiplier: 8.33x
User PnL: $0.49

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 32°C or below on June 23?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $46.05
Potential payout: $46.08
Potential profit: $0.02
User PnL: $40.52

Under position

France vs. Iraq: O/U 1.5

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $45.45
Potential profit: $45.45
User PnL: -$5

No position

Will AJ Dybantsa be the first pick in the 2026 NBA draft?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 8.5%
Current value: $3.86
Potential payout: $45.45
Potential profit: $41.59
Multiplier: 11.76x
User PnL: -$1.14

Yes position

Will England vs. Ghana end in a draw?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 46.5%
Current value: $19.38
Potential payout: $41.67
Potential profit: $22.29
Multiplier: 2.15x
User PnL: $14.38

Yes position

Will Morocco vs. Haiti end in a draw?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 11.5%
Current value: $4.79
Potential payout: $41.67
Potential profit: $36.88
Multiplier: 8.70x
User PnL: -$0.21

No position

Will France reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 13.5%
Current value: $5.62
Potential payout: $41.67
Potential profit: $36.04
Multiplier: 7.41x
User PnL: $0.62

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 12.2%
Current value: $4.82
Potential payout: $39.68
Potential profit: $34.86
Multiplier: 8.23x
User PnL: -$0.18

Yes position

Will Portugal vs. Uzbekistan end in a draw?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $38.46
Potential profit: $38.46
User PnL: -$5

Under position

Argentina vs. Austria: Argentina O/U 0.5

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $38.46
Potential profit: $38.46
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Austria win on 2026-06-22?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $38.46
Potential profit: $38.46
User PnL: -$5

No position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 20 to June 22, 2026?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $35.71
Potential profit: $35.71
User PnL: -$5

No position

Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 12.5%
Current value: $4.46
Potential payout: $35.71
Potential profit: $31.25
Multiplier: 8.00x
User PnL: -$0.54

Yes position

Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 32.9%
Current value: $11.42
Potential payout: $34.76
Potential profit: $23.34
Multiplier: 3.04x
User PnL: $1.52

No position

Will Argentina win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $33.33
Potential profit: $33.33
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 10.4%
Current value: $3.45
Potential payout: $33.33
Potential profit: $29.88
Multiplier: 9.66x
User PnL: -$1.55

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on June 22?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $32.81
Potential profit: $32.81
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 10.5%
Current value: $3.28
Potential payout: $31.25
Potential profit: $27.97
Multiplier: 9.52x
User PnL: -$1.72

No position

Will England win on 2026-06-23?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 52.5%
Current value: $14.58
Potential payout: $27.78
Potential profit: $13.2
Multiplier: 1.90x
User PnL: $9.58

No position

Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 16.5%
Current value: $4.58
Potential payout: $27.78
Potential profit: $23.19
Multiplier: 6.06x
User PnL: -$0.42

No position

Will Belgium win on 2026-06-26?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 18.5%
Current value: $4.87
Potential payout: $26.32
Potential profit: $21.45
Multiplier: 5.41x
User PnL: -$0.13

No position

Will Argentina win on 2026-06-27?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 17.5%
Current value: $4.61
Potential payout: $26.32
Potential profit: $21.71
Multiplier: 5.71x
User PnL: -$0.39

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $75 by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.23

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 13.9%
Multiplier: 7.22x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Exact Score: France 3 - 0 Iraq?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on June 22?

No 15.2% 32.81 shares
Exact Score: France 3 - 0 Iraq?

Yes 16% 31.25 shares
Argentina vs. Austria: Argentina O/U 0.5

Under 13% 38.46 shares
France vs. Iraq: O/U 1.5

Under 11% 45.45 shares
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Yes 18% 27.78 shares
Will France reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 12% 41.67 shares
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $75 by end of June?

No 16.8% 31.05 shares
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 20 to June 22, 2026?

No 14% 35.71 shares
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-25?

No 14% 35.71 shares
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-23?

No 19% 26.32 shares
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $75 by end of June?

No 16.1% 31.06 shares
Will Argentina win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 15% 33.33 shares