Polymarket Trader

Peace419

0x0c6b8f03eda2c03411c051fefa245c85588f82a1

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $0
Realized PnL: $8.57
Win rate: 79.2%
Open positions: 1
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Latest Resolved Positions

No open position details returned

This trader has an open-position count, but open position cards are not available yet. Showing their latest closed positions instead.

No position

Will Eric Adams win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.8

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.98

No position

Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.2%
User PnL: $1.24

No position

Will Elon tweet 180–194 times July 25–August 1?

Ends Aug 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.94

Yes position

Will Russia capture Kupiansk by August 31?

Ends Aug 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.45

Yes position

Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.3

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Eric Adams win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.8

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.98

No position

Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.2%
User PnL: $1.24

No position

Will Elon tweet 180–194 times July 25–August 1?

Ends Aug 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.94

Yes position

Will Russia capture Kupiansk by August 31?

Ends Aug 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.45

Yes position

Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.3

Yes position

Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during conference with Putin on August 15?

Ends Aug 15, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.25

No position

Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 93.8%
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $0.14

No position

Will Elon tweet 335–349 times August 8–August 15?

Ends Aug 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.12

No position

Will 2025 be the hottest year on record?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.07

No position

Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
User PnL: $0.06

Yes position

Will Ethereum dip to $3200 in August?

Ends Sep 1, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.05

No position

Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 99.1%
User PnL: $0.03

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.03

No position

Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
User PnL: $0.03

No position

Will Trump deport 500,000-750,000- people?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.03

No position

Will Manchester United win the 2025–26 English Premier League?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.02

No position

Will DeepSeek have the top AI model on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.02

No position

Will the Chicago Cubs win the 2025 World Series?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.01

No position

Will the San Francisco 49ers win Super Bowl 2026?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 98.1%
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $0

No position

Will global temperature increase by more than 1.10ºC in July 2025?

Ends Jul 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 6.5%
Multiplier: 15.38x
User PnL: $0

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

No 83% 35 shares
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?

Yes 27% 17 shares
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?

No 92% 31 shares
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?

No 92% 19 shares
Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?

No 88.3% 36 shares
Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?

No 89.3% 35 shares
Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?

No 89.2% 35 shares
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?

No 93% 31 shares
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?

No 89% 31 shares
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?

Yes 28% 86 shares
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?

Yes 28% 86 shares
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?

Yes 32% 47 shares