Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.9%
- Current value
- $382.44
- Potential payout
- $399
- Potential profit
- $16.56
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $11.37
Polymarket Trader
Niangaoao
0x0c738cf2019c96ba17b9c075cda2a6d99bd401ff
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $382.44
- Realized PnL
- $63.76
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 65.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.53x
- User PnL
- $20.43
No position
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 96.1%
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $9.83
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $4.81
No position
Will France win the second most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.92
Yes position
Will Lê Minh Hưng be the next Prime Minister of Vietnam?
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.92
No position
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.44
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in April?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.89
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in April?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.88
No position
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.65
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.62
No position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 80%
- Multiplier
- 1.25x
- User PnL
- $1.43
Yes position
Will Sanae Takaichi be the Prime Minister of Japan as a result of the 2026 snap election?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.27
Yes position
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.2
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.3%
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $1.12
No position
Will Solana reach $160 in March?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in February?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.96
No position
Will Geert Wilders become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.8
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in April?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.76
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.66
No position
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.66
No position
Will André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.64
Yes position
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.52
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.36
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No 90.6% 400.77 shares
- Will Google have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?No 98.8% 260.4 shares
- Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?Yes 94.5% 163.48 shares
- Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?Yes 99.1% 334.34 shares
- Will France win the second most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?No 99.7% 328 shares
- Will France win the second most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?No 99.1% 326.35 shares
- Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?No 98.7% 10 shares