No position
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 80%
- Current value
- $48.43
- Potential payout
- $60.53
- Potential profit
- $12.11
- Multiplier
- 1.25x
- User PnL
- $8.43
Polymarket Trader
0x0C7c35556f2040bf596e63f63E3832E473986EB6-1779987193856
0x0c7c35556f2040bf596e63f63e3832e473986eb6
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $96.14
- Realized PnL
- -$1.36
- Win rate
- 0%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 1
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
GPT-5.6 released by June 5, 2026?
Ends Jun 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $53.16
- Potential profit
- $53.16
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $33.5
- Potential profit
- $33.5
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.8%
- Current value
- $23.16
- Potential payout
- $26.08
- Potential profit
- $2.92
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $3.16
No position
Next Mythos-Class Model released by July 31, 2026?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 76.5%
- Current value
- $17.93
- Potential payout
- $23.44
- Potential profit
- $5.51
- Multiplier
- 1.31x
- User PnL
- $2.93
Y
Yes position
Will the US government rescind its ban on all foreign use of Claude Fable 5 by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 32.5%
- Current value
- $6.63
- Potential payout
- $20.41
- Potential profit
- $13.78
- Multiplier
- 3.08x
- User PnL
- -$3.37
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will any other model be the best AI model on June 13, 2026?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.36
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?Yes 76.7% 26.08 shares
- Will the US government rescind its ban on all foreign use of Claude Fable 5 by June 30?Yes 49% 20.41 shares
- Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?No 66.1% 60.53 shares
- Will any other model be the best AI model on June 13, 2026?Yes 7.3% 50 shares
- Will any other model be the best AI model on June 13, 2026?Yes 10% 50 shares
- Next Mythos-Class Model released by July 31, 2026?No 64% 23.44 shares
- Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026?No 29.9% 33.5 shares
- GPT-5.6 released by June 5, 2026?Yes 18.8% 53.16 shares