No position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100K
- Potential profit
- $100K
- User PnL
- -$100
Polymarket Trader
primethyme
0x0c839d5032e2b0bfd2e9d779c9eba458dfa50f55
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $8.04K
- Realized PnL
- $9.03K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
US forces enter Iran by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $51.51K
- Potential profit
- $51.51K
- User PnL
- -$545.04
Yes position
Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 47%
- Current value
- $4.35K
- Potential payout
- $9.26K
- Potential profit
- $4.91K
- Multiplier
- 2.13x
- User PnL
- $929.99
Yes position
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by March 31, 2026?
Ends May 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $9.19K
- Potential profit
- $9.19K
- User PnL
- -$628.59
Yes position
Will The Super Mario Galaxy Movie be the top grossing movie of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.3%
- Current value
- $174.18
- Potential payout
- $4.06K
- Potential profit
- $3.89K
- Multiplier
- 23.31x
- User PnL
- -$83.58
Yes position
Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.86K
- Potential profit
- $2.86K
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.8%
- Current value
- $46.15
- Potential payout
- $2.56K
- Potential profit
- $2.52K
- Multiplier
- 55.56x
- User PnL
- -$389.73
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.5K
- Potential profit
- $2.5K
- User PnL
- -$550
Yes position
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?
Ends May 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.39K
- Potential profit
- $2.39K
- User PnL
- -$224.51
Yes position
Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 77.5%
- Current value
- $1.81K
- Potential payout
- $2.34K
- Potential profit
- $526.1
- Multiplier
- 1.29x
- User PnL
- $307.78
Yes position
Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 27%
- Current value
- $504.9
- Potential payout
- $1.87K
- Potential profit
- $1.37K
- Multiplier
- 3.70x
- User PnL
- $93.5
Yes position
Will Bill Clinton be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Current value
- $11.07
- Potential payout
- $1.3K
- Potential profit
- $1.29K
- Multiplier
- 117.65x
- User PnL
- -$353.51
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.01K
- Potential profit
- $1.01K
- User PnL
- -$223.05
Yes position
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 50%
- Current value
- $500
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $500
- Multiplier
- 2.00x
- User PnL
- -$150
Yes position
Will Canada win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $927.61
- Potential profit
- $927.61
- User PnL
- -$510.19
Yes position
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.2%
- Current value
- $10.09
- Potential payout
- $840.79
- Potential profit
- $830.7
- Multiplier
- 83.33x
- User PnL
- -$222.34
Yes position
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $743.13
- Potential profit
- $743.13
- User PnL
- -$200
Yes position
Opensea FDV above $300M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 45%
- Current value
- $319.86
- Potential payout
- $710.79
- Potential profit
- $390.93
- Multiplier
- 2.22x
- User PnL
- -$170.59
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET
Ends Feb 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $338.03
- Potential profit
- $338.03
- User PnL
- -$24.89
Yes position
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $204.36
- Potential profit
- $204.36
- User PnL
- -$14.74
Yes position
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $203.28
- Potential profit
- $203.28
- User PnL
- -$38.62
Yes position
Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 44.3%
- Current value
- $88.6
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $111.4
- Multiplier
- 2.26x
- User PnL
- -$39.4
No position
Ink FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 74.5%
- Current value
- $149
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $51
- Multiplier
- 1.34x
- User PnL
- $29
Yes position
Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 44.5%
- Current value
- $68.49
- Potential payout
- $153.92
- Potential profit
- $85.43
- Multiplier
- 2.25x
- User PnL
- -$31.32
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Hyperliquid hit $70 in 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.94K
Yes position
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $750
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $720
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $672.35
Panthers position
Panthers vs. Packers
Ends Nov 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $639.47
Yes position
Over $6M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $506.53
Yes position
Will the Gatorade shower at Super Bowl LX be green/yellow?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $441.25
Yes position
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $400
Vikings position
Vikings vs. Lions
Ends Nov 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $360.16
Yes position
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of January?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $334.78
Yes position
Will Trump pardon Changpeng Zhao in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $324
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down on September 6?
Ends Sep 6, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $230
Jaguars position
Chiefs vs. Jaguars
Ends Oct 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $217
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET
Ends Feb 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $206.03
No position
EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $202.71
Broncos position
Broncos vs. Texans
Ends Nov 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $198.84
No position
Will the Government shutdown end November 16 or later?
Ends Nov 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $193.4
Yes position
Over $40M committed to the Ranger public sale?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $147.46
Heads position
Big Game: Coin Toss
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $122.5
Yes position
Hyperliquid daily fees above $8M in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $111.98
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 8AM ET
Ends Sep 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $99.76
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in November?
Ends Dec 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $81.82
Yes position
Will Eli Lilly and Company (LLY) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Feb 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $72.11
Yes position
Will Pope Leo XIV be the #1 searched person on Google this year?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $50.99
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?No 56.8% 445 shares
- Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?Yes 47% 128.45 shares
- Will The Super Mario Galaxy Movie be the top grossing movie of 2026?Yes 4.2% 1,224.32 shares
- Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch?Yes 65% 130.12 shares
- Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?Yes 65% 1,000 shares
- Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?No 54% 445 shares
- Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch?Yes 64% 11.9 shares
- Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch?Yes 64% 11.9 shares
- Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch?Yes 64% 200 shares
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?No 22% 2,500 shares
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?No 57.1% 89.92 shares
- Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch?Yes 66% 450 shares