Polymarket Trader

betke

0x0c89f56aedffd39efb8e4f4fd200c1593d3da7fa

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $128.98
Realized PnL: $1.17K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 4
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $171.3
Potential profit: $171.3
User PnL: -$37.01

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 83.5%
Current value: $111.33
Potential payout: $133.33
Potential profit: $22
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: -$8.67

No position

Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $33.9
Potential profit: $33.9
User PnL: -$20

No position

Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 96%
Current value: $17.65
Potential payout: $18.39
Potential profit: $0.74
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $1.65

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $410.17

Yes position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $377.5

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $123.31

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $90.32

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $57.54

Yes position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.97

Yes position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.47

No position

Iran closes its airspace by May 18?

Ends May 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.21

Yes position

US and Iran sign an agreement by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.39

Yes position

Will Keiko Fujimori finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.43

Yes position

Will James Talarico receive the most votes in the first round of the Democratic Senate primary in Texas?

Ends Mar 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.44

No position

Will Claude 5 be released by February 28, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.4

Yes position

Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.81

Yes position

Will SpaceX IPO by September 30, 2026?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.64

No position

Will Moldova win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.34

Yes position

Will Inter win the 2025–26 Serie A league?

Ends May 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.4

No position

Will Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 14, 2026?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.28

No position

Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 15, 2026?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.1

Yes position

Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.12

Yes position

Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.98

No position

Will BNB reach $700 in March?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.88

No position

Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Australian Open?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.55

No position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 15?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.11

Yes position

Will Google have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?

Yes 90% 133.33 shares
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 31?

Yes 94% 53.19 shares
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?

No 28.3% 86.41 shares
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?

No 81% 86.42 shares
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 31?

Yes 78% 51.28 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

No 21.6% 171.3 shares
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 30, 2026?

Yes 90.1% 102.59 shares
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 30, 2026?

Yes 77% 102.6 shares
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?

Yes 85.1% 1,527.03 shares
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14

Yes 38.1% 139.13 shares
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14

Yes 23% 139.13 shares
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?

Yes 74.9% 600.47 shares