Polymarket Trader

imp

0x0c91fd32ddb87178ae51a741e28421b3fc101971

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $12.73K
Realized PnL: $21.33K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 8
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $3K
Potential payout: $3K
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $21

No position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $2.5K
Potential payout: $2.5K
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $22

Yes position

Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 57.5%
Current value: $1.15K
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $850
Multiplier: 1.74x
User PnL: $130

No position

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $2K
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $8

No position

Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?

Ends Aug 18, 2026

Implied probability: 96.5%
Current value: $1.84K
Potential payout: $1.9K
Potential profit: $66.59
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $136.14

No position

Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets in May 2026?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $1K
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $1

No position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $1K
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $18

No position

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets in May 2026?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $244.84
Potential payout: $244.84
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.98

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Biden finish his term?

Ends Jan 20, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $4.51K

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.88K

No position

Biden drops out by July 12?

Ends Jul 12, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.17K

No position

Will Luis Antonio Tagle be the next pope?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.02K

No position

Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during the debate?

Ends Jun 27, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $825.26

Yes position

Will Michelle Obama win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?

Ends Aug 19, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $808.01

Yes position

Trump and Biden debate before Election?

Ends Nov 4, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $779.45

Yes position

Trump sentenced to no prison time?

Ends Jul 11, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $740

Yes position

Labour wins the most seats in next UK election?

Ends Jan 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $724.09

Yes position

Mexican Presidential Election: Will Claudia Sheinbaum win?

Ends May 30, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $664.78

No position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 12 to September 19, 2025?

Ends Sep 19, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $662.01

Yes position

Will a Republican win Iowa Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $629.01

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before June?

Ends May 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $620

No position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 26 to October 3, 2025?

Ends Oct 3, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $604.27

Yes position

Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?

Ends Jan 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $567.05

Yes position

Will Elon tweet 450 or more times August 8–August 15?

Ends Aug 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $515.65

No position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 14 to October 21, 2025?

Ends Oct 21, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $509.72

Yes position

Will JD Vance be the next Senate Majority Leader?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $499

Yes position

Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?

Ends Apr 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $471.76

Yes position

Will Michelle Obama announce presidential run before August?

Ends Jul 30, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $461

Yes position

Will Biden announce resignation by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $445

No position

Will a Democrat win New Mexico Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $420

No position

Will a Republican win Minnesota in the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $400

Yes position

Trump + Biden debate on June 27 as planned?

Ends Jun 27, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $399.31

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?

No 98.2% 337.87 shares
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?

No 98.8% 205 shares
Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?

No 99.7% 2,000 shares
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?

Yes 1.2% 398.98 shares
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?

Yes 21% 1,377 shares
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?

No 79% 48.85 shares
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?

No 80.7% 2,509.99 shares
Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?

No 98.1% 850.22 shares
Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?

No 99.8% 3,704.24 shares
Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?

No 99.4% 2,000 shares
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?

No 91.3% 19.98 shares
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?

No 90.2% 400 shares