Yes position
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 80.2%
- Current value
- $75.06
- Potential payout
- $93.65
- Potential profit
- $18.59
- Multiplier
- 1.25x
- User PnL
- $61.38
Polymarket Trader
0x0CAb4756Ff37ADdCa094b75381bf96deA874b4D0-1771793713746
0x0cab4756ff37addca094b75381bf96dea874b4d0
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $158.55
- Realized PnL
- $148.41
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 16
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $41.66
- Potential profit
- $41.66
- User PnL
- -$14.58
Yes position
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $38.46
- Potential profit
- $38.46
- User PnL
- -$4.44
Yes position
Zendaya confirmed pregnant by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Current value
- $0.23
- Potential payout
- $38.46
- Potential profit
- $38.23
- Multiplier
- 166.67x
- User PnL
- -$3.62
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $27.77
- Potential profit
- $27.77
- User PnL
- -$4.58
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $23.37
- Potential payout
- $23.43
- Potential profit
- $0.06
- User PnL
- $8.84
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $20.94
- Potential payout
- $23.14
- Potential profit
- $2.2
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $8.88
Yes position
France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $14.8
- Potential profit
- $14.8
- User PnL
- -$3.72
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?
Ends Apr 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $12.82
- Potential profit
- $12.82
- User PnL
- -$5
No position
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $12.5
- Potential payout
- $12.53
- Potential profit
- $0.03
- User PnL
- $2.35
No position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Current value
- $10.71
- Potential payout
- $12.38
- Potential profit
- $1.67
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $1.3
No position
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $10.93
- Potential payout
- $11.95
- Potential profit
- $1.02
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $0.78
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $11.42
- Potential profit
- $11.42
- User PnL
- -$2.8
No position
Will the Freedom Movement (GS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $11.11
- Potential profit
- $11.11
- User PnL
- -$4.78
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $11.11
- Potential profit
- $11.11
- User PnL
- -$8
No position
Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 88.5%
- Current value
- $4.81
- Potential payout
- $5.43
- Potential profit
- $0.62
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- -$0.14
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US strikes Iraq by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $55.93
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.51
No position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.59
Yes position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.34
No position
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-02-25?
Ends Feb 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.08
Yes position
Will Sinners win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $5.72
Yes position
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.45
Yes position
Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Rhineland-Palatinate parliamentary elections?
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.38
Magic position
Magic vs. Lakers
Ends Feb 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.74
Hawks position
Spread: Hawks (-6.5)
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.55
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.38
Cadenasso position
Tigre 2: Gianluca Cadenasso vs Daniel Dutra da Silva
Ends Mar 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.95
Yes position
Will Emmanuel Grégoire win the Paris mayor election?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.62
No position
Will Swansea City AFC win on 2026-02-24?
Ends Feb 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.2
Over position
Cavaliers vs. Bucks: O/U 229.5
Ends Feb 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.2
Torres position
Tigre 2: Juan Bautista Torres vs Gonzalo Bueno
Ends Mar 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.2
Thunder position
Spread: Thunder (-1.5)
Ends Feb 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.16
Under position
Magic vs. Lakers: O/U 230.5
Ends Feb 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.88
magic position
Counter-Strike: magic vs WHITEBIRD - Map 2 Winner
Ends Feb 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.81
Under position
Celtics vs. Nuggets: O/U 230.5
Ends Feb 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.77
76ers position
Spread: 76ers (-9.5)
Ends Feb 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.67
Under position
Iowa State Cyclones vs. Utah Utes: O/U 144.5
Ends Feb 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.64
Under position
Celtics vs. Nuggets: O/U 231.5
Ends Feb 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.63
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?No 90% 5.43 shares
- Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?No 89.5% 5.43 shares
- Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?No 90.2% 5.43 shares
- Zendaya confirmed pregnant by June 30?Yes 10% 38.46 shares
- US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?No 90% 10.84 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?Yes 91% 5.43 shares
- Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?Yes 6% 38.46 shares
- Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?Yes 11% 38.46 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?Yes 9% 38.46 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?Yes 10% 38.46 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?No 88.9% 5.43 shares
- Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets in April?Yes 15% 22.72 shares