Polymarket Trader

Cartulio

0x0cb45497e28f7fe135664551c83cc5860e40fe88

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $284.39
Realized PnL: -$120.9
Win rate: 70%
Open positions: 15
Closed positions: 10
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $270.27
Potential profit: $270.27
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 23%
Current value: $48.42
Potential payout: $210.97
Potential profit: $162.55
Multiplier: 4.36x
User PnL: -$1.58

Yes position

Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 24.5%
Current value: $28.49
Potential payout: $116.28
Potential profit: $87.79
Multiplier: 4.08x
User PnL: -$21.51

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 20.7%
Current value: $22.94
Potential payout: $111.11
Potential profit: $88.17
Multiplier: 4.84x
User PnL: $2.94

Yes position

Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 85%
Current value: $81.44
Potential payout: $95.81
Potential profit: $14.37
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: $6.44

Yes position

Fed Derivative: Jan "25bps cut" over 20% on December 10?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $59.7
Potential profit: $59.7
User PnL: -$40

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$30

Yes position

Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 66.5%
Current value: $33.25
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $16.75
Multiplier: 1.50x
User PnL: $13.25

Yes position

No change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after August 2026 meeting?

Ends Aug 6, 2026

Implied probability: 84.5%
Current value: $40.53
Potential payout: $47.96
Potential profit: $7.43
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: $0.53

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $42.67
Potential profit: $42.67
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $88,000 and $90,000 on January 29?

Ends Jan 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $42.55
Potential profit: $42.55
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 86.5%
Current value: $29.32
Potential payout: $33.9
Potential profit: $4.58
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $9.32

Yes position

Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-08?

Ends Jan 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $32.26
Potential profit: $32.26
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Golden (Ejae and Mark Sonnenblick) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $29.99
Potential profit: $29.99
User PnL: -$20

Knicks position

Spurs vs. Knicks

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16
Potential profit: $16
User PnL: -$8

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $50.74

Yes position

No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.11

Yes position

Will Max Verstappen finish second in the 2025 Drivers Championship?

Ends Dec 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.68

Yes position

Will "Tití Me Preguntó" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.71

Yes position

Will "DtMF" be played last at the Super Bowl halftime show?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.33

Seahawks position

Seahawks vs. Patriots

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.16

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?

Ends Oct 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.56

Patriots position

Seahawks vs. Patriots

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion?

Ends Dec 7, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$40

No position

US government shutdown Saturday?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$171.18

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 18% 111.11 shares
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 23.7% 210.97 shares
Spurs vs. Knicks

Knicks 50% 16 shares
No change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after August 2026 meeting?

Yes 83.4% 47.96 shares
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?

Yes 78.3% 95.81 shares
Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Yes 43% 116.28 shares
Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?

Yes 40% 50 shares
Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition?

Yes 59% 33.9 shares
Seahawks vs. Patriots

Seahawks 76% 13.16 shares
Will "DtMF" be played last at the Super Bowl halftime show?

Yes 75% 13.33 shares
Will "Tití Me Preguntó" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show?

Yes 68% 14.71 shares
US government shutdown Saturday?

No 9% 320.18 shares