0x0cb54BdA891de2bD6CE8E5D09cdAd7F0DDde31B0-1769486890815

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.3K
Potential profit: $1.3K
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will One Battle After Another win Best Original Score at the 98th Academy Awards?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will MrBeast's next video get between 50.5 and 51.0 million views on day 6?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on February 9?

Ends Feb 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

AI Industry Downturn by March 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$1

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - February 15, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $381.07
Potential profit: $381.07
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $333.33
Potential profit: $333.33
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the 2026 Bad Bunny Super Bowl halftime show video get between 125M and 150M views in its first 7 days?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $315.98
Potential profit: $315.98
User PnL: -$11

Yes position

Will "NUEVAYOL" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $263.78
Potential profit: $263.78
User PnL: -$19

Yes position

Will The Odyssey be the top grossing movie of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 2.1%
Current value: $5.47
Potential payout: $255.5
Potential profit: $250.03
Multiplier: 46.73x
User PnL: -$4.53

Yes position

Will Dune: Messiah have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 2%
Current value: $5.08
Potential payout: $253.94
Potential profit: $248.87
Multiplier: 50.00x
User PnL: $0.08

No position

Will the 2026 Bad Bunny Super Bowl halftime show video get between 75M and 100M views in its first 7 days?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $213.51
Potential profit: $213.51
User PnL: -$19

Yes position

Will MrBeast's next video get between 76 and 77 million views on day 5?

Ends Mar 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Sarah Knafo win the Paris mayor election?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $195.45
Potential profit: $195.45
User PnL: -$6

Yes position

Will "DtMF" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $187.5
Potential profit: $187.5
User PnL: -$6

No position

Will MrBeast's next video get less than 60 million views on week 1?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $166.67
Potential profit: $166.67
User PnL: -$1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET

Ends Feb 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $129.26
Potential profit: $129.26
User PnL: -$5.99

Yes position

Will Leonardo DiCaprio win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $128.21
Potential profit: $128.21
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will J.D. Vance attend Super Bowl LX?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $126.97
Potential profit: $126.97
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will the government shutdown last 2 days or more?

Ends Mar 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $125
Potential profit: $125
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the government shutdown last 1 day or more?

Ends Mar 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $125
Potential profit: $125
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the government shutdown last 3 days or more?

Ends Mar 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $125
Potential profit: $125
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the Super Bowl national anthem last between 140 and 150 seconds?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $116.71
Potential profit: $116.71
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will MrBeast's next video get between 49.5 and 50.0 million views on day 6?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $105.4
Potential profit: $105.4
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Government shutdown on Saturday?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $47.88

Yes position

Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.39

Yes position

Will One Battle After Another win Best Casting at the 98th Academy Awards?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.37

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.44

No position

Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $17 million?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.46

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET

Ends Feb 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.09

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET

Ends Feb 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.33

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 2 to March 4, 2026?

Ends Mar 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.8

No position

Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.68

Up position

Solana Up or Down - February 6, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET

Ends Feb 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.35

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET

Ends Mar 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.04

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET

Ends Apr 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.38

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.18

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.05

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.17

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.13

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.02

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET

Ends Mar 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.93

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.92

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.83

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET

Ends Mar 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.8

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET

Ends Feb 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.76

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.75

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET