No position
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.3%
- Current value
- $33.62K
- Potential payout
- $35.65K
- Potential profit
- $2.03K
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $641.77
Polymarket Trader
Anomymous
0x0cbaab2d3f6cc5998e78cc1969c6ee1f4d1392d3
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $119.03K
- Realized PnL
- -$876.91
- Win rate
- 50%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 2
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 77.5%
- Current value
- $7.47K
- Potential payout
- $9.64K
- Potential profit
- $2.17K
- Multiplier
- 1.29x
- User PnL
- -$530.11
No position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Xi Jinping by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.1%
- Current value
- $7.2K
- Potential payout
- $7.27K
- Potential profit
- $69.07
- User PnL
- $111.06
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- Current value
- $6.38K
- Potential payout
- $6.43K
- Potential profit
- $48.19
- User PnL
- $194.86
No position
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.8%
- Current value
- $5.26K
- Potential payout
- $5.86K
- Potential profit
- $600.47
- Multiplier
- 1.11x
- User PnL
- $247.79
No position
NATO article 5 before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $5.07K
- Potential payout
- $5.42K
- Potential profit
- $352.34
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $168.26
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.7%
- Current value
- $5.02K
- Potential payout
- $5.36K
- Potential profit
- $340.35
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $19.49
No position
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.5%
- Current value
- $5.25K
- Potential payout
- $5.33K
- Potential profit
- $82.64
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $269.23
No position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- Current value
- $5.14K
- Potential payout
- $5.17K
- Potential profit
- $28.43
- User PnL
- $140.46
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.6%
- Current value
- $4.99K
- Potential payout
- $5.11K
- Potential profit
- $122.68
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $29.62
No position
Will China blockade Taiwan by in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $4.4K
- Potential payout
- $4.71K
- Potential profit
- $305.95
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $0.93
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $4.07K
- Potential payout
- $4.5K
- Potential profit
- $427.17
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- -$30.66
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.9%
- Current value
- $3.64K
- Potential payout
- $3.84K
- Potential profit
- $195.85
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $44.35
No position
Will xAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.2%
- Current value
- $3.52K
- Potential payout
- $3.55K
- Potential profit
- $30.18
- User PnL
- $19.85
Yes position
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 74.5%
- Current value
- $2.24K
- Potential payout
- $3K
- Potential profit
- $765
- Multiplier
- 1.34x
- User PnL
- -$15
No position
Will Meta have a #1 AI model by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.2%
- Current value
- $2.82K
- Potential payout
- $2.84K
- Potential profit
- $22.75
- User PnL
- $21.17
No position
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.5%
- Current value
- $1.96K
- Potential payout
- $2.32K
- Potential profit
- $360.12
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $263.25
No position
Will Alibaba have a #1 AI model by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- Current value
- $2.12K
- Potential payout
- $2.13K
- Potential profit
- $13.87
- User PnL
- $19.93
No position
Trump out as President by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- Current value
- $1.91K
- Potential payout
- $1.92K
- Potential profit
- $8.65
- User PnL
- $13.16
No position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Melania Trump by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.2%
- Current value
- $1.8K
- Potential payout
- $1.82K
- Potential profit
- $14.55
- User PnL
- $4.7
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 54.5%
- Current value
- $966.26
- Potential payout
- $1.77K
- Potential profit
- $806.69
- Multiplier
- 1.83x
- User PnL
- -$33.74
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- Current value
- $1.71K
- Potential payout
- $1.73K
- Potential profit
- $12.96
- User PnL
- $14.69
No position
Will a Chinese AI model become #1 by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.2%
- Current value
- $1.31K
- Potential payout
- $1.32K
- Potential profit
- $11.25
- User PnL
- $2.48
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best Coding AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.7%
- Current value
- $1.15K
- Potential payout
- $1.2K
- Potential profit
- $51.71
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $50.88
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 28%
- Multiplier
- 3.57x
- User PnL
- $19.82
No position
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 25.5%
- Multiplier
- 3.92x
- User PnL
- -$896.73
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?Yes 81% 1,000 shares
- Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?No 94.7% 6,864.71 shares
- Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?Yes 27.4% 80.37 shares
- Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 85.5% 5,858.26 shares
- Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?No 91.4% 16,412.7 shares
- Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?Yes 75% 4,000 shares
- Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?No 92% 3,804 shares
- Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?No 25% 43.89 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes 91% 2,307.69 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?No 95.1% 2,102.48 shares
- Will China blockade Taiwan by in 2026?No 93.4% 963.84 shares
- Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?No 89.7% 1,375.85 shares