RangeCraft

Implied probability: 47%
Current value: $2.4
Potential payout: $5.1
Potential profit: $2.7
Multiplier: 2.13x
User PnL: -$0

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 28°C on July 10?

Implied probability: 29%
Current value: $1.45
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $3.55
Multiplier: 3.45x
User PnL: -$0.25

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 36°C on July 11?

Implied probability: 38.5%
Current value: $1.93
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $3.08
Multiplier: 2.60x
User PnL: -$0.07

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on July 8?

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$1.7

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on July 10?

Implied probability: 97.9%
Current value: $4.89
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $0.11
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $2.14

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on July 9?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$2.2

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 66-67°F on July 10?

Implied probability: 44.5%
Current value: $2.23
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $2.78
Multiplier: 2.25x
User PnL: $0.52

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on July 10?

Implied probability: 52.5%
Current value: $2.63
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $2.38
Multiplier: 1.90x
User PnL: $0.52

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on July 9?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$2.2

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on July 10?

Implied probability: 68.5%
Current value: $3.43
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $1.58
Multiplier: 1.46x
User PnL: $1.03

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on July 11?

Implied probability: 30%
Current value: $1.5
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $3.5
Multiplier: 3.33x
User PnL: -$0.65

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 29°C on July 10?

Implied probability: 62.5%
Current value: $3.13
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $1.88
Multiplier: 1.60x
User PnL: $0.67

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 94-95°F on July 10?

Implied probability: 32.5%
Current value: $1.63
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $3.38
Multiplier: 3.08x
User PnL: -$0.17

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 80-81°F on July 10?

Implied probability: 46.5%
Current value: $2.33
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $2.68
Multiplier: 2.15x
User PnL: $0.48

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 30°C on July 11?

Implied probability: 46.5%
Current value: $2.33
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $2.68
Multiplier: 2.15x
User PnL: $0.08

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 94-95°F on July 8?

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 96-97°F on July 9?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 96-97°F on July 9?

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $5
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $2.85

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C on July 10?

Implied probability: 51.5%
Current value: $2.58
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $2.43
Multiplier: 1.94x
User PnL: $0.78

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 35°C on July 9?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$2.1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Milan be 31°C on July 11?

Implied probability: 33.5%
Current value: $1.67
Potential payout: $4.99
Potential profit: $3.32
Multiplier: 2.99x
User PnL: $0.02

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 92-93°F on July 10?

Implied probability: 36.5%
Current value: $1.82
Potential payout: $4.99
Potential profit: $3.17
Multiplier: 2.74x
User PnL: $0.12

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $98,000 on January 20?

Ends Jan 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.13

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $100,000 on January 22?

Ends Jan 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.23

No position

US strikes Iran by January 18, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.76

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 31°C on July 9?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.25

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $98,000 on January 19?

Ends Jan 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.19

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 98-99°F on July 8?

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.95

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on July 9?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.8

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C on July 9?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.7

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $100,000 on January 21?

Ends Jan 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.48

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $100,000 on January 17?

Ends Jan 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.18

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $94,000 and $96,000 on January 14?

Ends Jan 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.15

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $100,000 on January 20?

Ends Jan 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.77

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $94,000 and $96,000 on January 20?

Ends Jan 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.75

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on January 18?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.72

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $102,000 on January 19?

Ends Jan 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.24

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $94,000 and $96,000 on January 21?

Ends Jan 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.15

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on January 21?

Ends Jan 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.14

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $102,000 on January 18?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.88

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on July 9?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.79

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $94,000 and $96,000 on January 22?

Ends Jan 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.75

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $98,000 on January 23?

Ends Jan 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.62

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $100,000 on January 19?

Ends Jan 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.58

Yes position

Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 16?

Ends Jan 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.09

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $98,000 on January 18?