Polymarket Trader

21centure

0x0ccdb425d03269698d123f3332fa0bcaefe8686f

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.78K
Realized PnL: $788.88
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 19.5%
Current value: $361.71
Potential payout: $1.85K
Potential profit: $1.49K
Multiplier: 5.13x
User PnL: $22.71

Yes position

Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 13.5%
Current value: $230.38
Potential payout: $1.71K
Potential profit: $1.48K
Multiplier: 7.41x
User PnL: -$10.41

Yes position

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 25.9%
Current value: $258.9
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $742.65
Multiplier: 3.87x
User PnL: $107.16

Yes position

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 16.1%
Current value: $156.7
Potential payout: $976.3
Potential profit: $819.61
Multiplier: 6.23x
User PnL: $71.54

Yes position

Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 84.5%
Current value: $353.54
Potential payout: $418.39
Potential profit: $64.85
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: $174.14

No position

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $220.27
Potential profit: $220.27
User PnL: -$57.9

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 40.5%
Current value: $79.56
Potential payout: $196.45
Potential profit: $116.89
Multiplier: 2.47x
User PnL: $33.16

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 76.5%
Current value: $115.71
Potential payout: $151.25
Potential profit: $35.54
Multiplier: 1.31x
User PnL: $60.06

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $14.66
Potential payout: $101.11
Potential profit: $86.45
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: $1.56

Yes position

Lighter Airdrop on December 29?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $85
Potential profit: $85
User PnL: -$45.85

No position

Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 20.5%
Current value: $16.53
Potential payout: $80.64
Potential profit: $64.11
Multiplier: 4.88x
User PnL: -$21.67

No position

Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 21.5%
Current value: $15.05
Potential payout: $70
Potential profit: $54.95
Multiplier: 4.65x
User PnL: -$24.05

No position

Over $20M committed to the Solomon public sale?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $67.93
Potential profit: $67.93
User PnL: -$19.02

No position

Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 68.4%
Current value: $37.66
Potential payout: $55.06
Potential profit: $17.4
Multiplier: 1.46x
User PnL: $8.64

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 83.5%
Current value: $42.99
Potential payout: $51.49
Potential profit: $8.5
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: $17.36

No position

Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 25%
Current value: $12.5
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $37.5
Multiplier: 4.00x
User PnL: -$21

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 90%
Current value: $36
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $4
Multiplier: 1.11x
User PnL: $12.8

No position

Dreamcash FDV above $100M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 47.5%
Current value: $17.69
Potential payout: $37.25
Potential profit: $19.55
Multiplier: 2.11x
User PnL: -$0.51

No position

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $30
User PnL: -$10.5

No position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $30
User PnL: -$6

No position

Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 53.5%
Current value: $16.05
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $13.95
Multiplier: 1.87x
User PnL: -$4.55

No position

Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 15.5%
Current value: $4.21
Potential payout: $27.14
Potential profit: $22.94
Multiplier: 6.45x
User PnL: -$11.59

No position

Sentio FDV above $50M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $25
User PnL: -$2

No position

Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 36.5%
Current value: $7.3
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $12.7
Multiplier: 2.74x
User PnL: -$7

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $130k in October?

Ends Nov 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $76.54

Yes position

Lighter Airdrop on December 30?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $62.51

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $59.7

No position

Will Ethereum reach $4,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 92.5%
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $55.35

No position

Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $53.46

Yes position

Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $53.37

No position

Will the Government shutdown end November 4-7?

Ends Nov 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $43.36

No position

US government shutdown Saturday?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $40.71

Yes position

Will Andrew Cuomo win second place in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $36.69

No position

EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32.99

Yes position

Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.35

Yes position

Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 30?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.19

Yes position

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 83.7%
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: $25.96

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?

Ends Oct 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.07

No position

Monad market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.7

Yes position

Will Catherine Connolly win the Irish Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 11, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.68

No position

Will Ethereum reach $4,500 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 94%
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $21

Yes position

Over $1.3B committed to the MegaETH public sale?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.18

No position

EdgeX FDV above $700M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.7

Yes position

Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.2

No position

Will Monad perform an airdrop by October 31?

Ends Nov 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.6

Yes position

Will Ethereum dip to $2,500 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.5

No position

EdgeX FDV above $4B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.35

Yes position

Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 22?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.73

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026?

Yes 21% 9.29 shares
Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026?

Yes 16% 12.5 shares
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?

Yes 37% 5.41 shares
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?

Yes 31% 6.45 shares
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?

Yes 24% 8.33 shares
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?

Yes 18% 11.11 shares
Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026?

No 74% 12.5 shares
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026?

Yes 17% 34.09 shares
Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026?

No 76% 12.5 shares
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026?

Yes 17% 47.06 shares
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026?

Yes 17% 58.82 shares
Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026?

No 76% 25 shares