No position
Will Trump visit China by May 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $25.99K
- Potential profit
- $25.99K
- User PnL
- -$2.61K
Polymarket Trader
SirJason
0x0cd7bea497efb9220105858617f0cd660d0a78e0
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $360.16
- Realized PnL
- $2.61K
- Win rate
- 69.2%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 13
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Kuomintang (KMT) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 16%
- Current value
- $360.16
- Potential payout
- $2.25K
- Potential profit
- $1.89K
- Multiplier
- 6.25x
- User PnL
- -$77.49
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Trump visit China by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.75K
Yes position
Will China GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 5.0% and 5.5%?
Ends Apr 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.18K
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $250
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $218.66
No position
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30.08
Yes position
Will Xi Jinping meet with Cheng Li-wun by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.91
Yes position
Will China GDP growth in Q4 2025 be between 4.5% and 5.0%?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.64
No position
Jimmy Lai released by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.31
No position
Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87%
- Multiplier
- 1.15x
- User PnL
- $1.28
No position
Will Trump visit China by March 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.31
Yes position
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.5%
- Multiplier
- 9.52x
- User PnL
- -$8.43
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- -$11.9
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$805.04
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Trump visit China by May 31?No 0.4% 9,197.5 shares
- Will Trump visit China by May 31?No 7.2% 5,958.75 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No 82% 595.23 shares
- Will Trump visit China by May 31?No 17% 2,286.47 shares
- Will Trump visit China by May 31?No 16.3% 615.24 shares
- Will Trump visit China by May 31?No 16% 2,500 shares
- Will China GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 5.0% and 5.5%?Yes 32% 203.31 shares
- Will Kuomintang (KMT) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections?No 20% 2,000 shares
- Will Kuomintang (KMT) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections?No 15% 220.98 shares
- Will China GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 5.0% and 5.5%?Yes 67.7% 742.49 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?No 83% 969.93 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?No 94% 705.36 shares