No position
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $179.14
- Potential profit
- $179.14
- User PnL
- -$60
Polymarket Trader
0x0cDA9c78F86391c8658C3346c0c9C0199fF9afef-1779832148788
0x0cda9c78f86391c8658c3346c0c9c0199ff9afef
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $422.4
- Realized PnL
- $147.27
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 15
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $133.41
- Potential payout
- $133.61
- Potential profit
- $0.2
- User PnL
- $3.41
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $123.46
- Potential profit
- $123.46
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $114.13
- Potential profit
- $114.13
- User PnL
- -$105
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.5%
- Current value
- $110.74
- Potential payout
- $113.64
- Potential profit
- $2.9
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $10.74
No position
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $99.45
- Potential payout
- $109.89
- Potential profit
- $10.44
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- -$0.55
Yes position
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50.63
- Potential profit
- $50.63
- User PnL
- -$38.48
Yes position
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?
Ends Aug 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 68.5%
- Current value
- $20.19
- Potential payout
- $29.47
- Potential profit
- $9.28
- Multiplier
- 1.46x
- User PnL
- $0.19
Yes position
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 35.5%
- Current value
- $7.4
- Potential payout
- $20.83
- Potential profit
- $13.44
- Multiplier
- 2.82x
- User PnL
- -$2.6
Yes position
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 56.5%
- Current value
- $9.91
- Potential payout
- $17.54
- Potential profit
- $7.63
- Multiplier
- 1.77x
- User PnL
- -$0.09
Yes position
Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Current value
- $12.01
- Potential payout
- $13.89
- Potential profit
- $1.88
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $2.01
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 82.5%
- Current value
- $9.94
- Potential payout
- $12.05
- Potential profit
- $2.11
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- -$0.06
Y
Yes position
Will Jared Kushner attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 81.5%
- Current value
- $9.48
- Potential payout
- $11.63
- Potential profit
- $2.15
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- -$0.52
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86%
- Current value
- $9.89
- Potential payout
- $11.49
- Potential profit
- $1.61
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- -$0.11
Yes position
Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.99
- Potential profit
- $3.99
- User PnL
- -$2.95
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24
No position
Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by June 7?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.05
Yes position
Will Israel and Lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.86
Yes position
Will AJ Dybantsa be the first pick in the 2026 NBA draft?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.78
Yes position
Will France win on 2026-06-16?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.92
Yes position
Will Norway win on 2026-06-16?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.92
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.53
Yes position
Will England win on 2026-07-01?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.22
Yes position
Brazil vs. Norway: Both Teams to Score
Ends Jul 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.39
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.38
Yes position
Will Civil Contract win the most seats in the 2026 Armenian National Assembly election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.26
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.55
No position
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.19
No position
Israeli forces enter Beirut by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.19
Y
Yes position
Will the announcers say "Weather" during the Mexico vs England FIFA World Cup Match?
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.72
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.46
Yes position
Will United States win on 2026-07-01?
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.94
No position
Will Trump speak to Volodymyr Zelenskyy in May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.69
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.52
Yes position
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.25
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.98
No position
Iran coup attempt by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.96
Y
Yes position
Will the announcers say "History" during the Brazil vs Norway FIFA World Cup Match?
Ends Jul 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.79
Y
Yes position
Will the announcers say "VAR" during the Brazil vs Norway FIFA World Cup Match?
Ends Jul 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.75
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the announcers say "History" during the Brazil vs Norway FIFA World Cup Match?Yes 91% 8.73 shares
- Will the announcers say "VAR" during the Brazil vs Norway FIFA World Cup Match?Yes 93% 10.75 shares
- Brazil vs. Norway: Both Teams to ScoreYes 61% 16.39 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Yes 83% 12.05 shares
- Will the announcers say "Weather" during the Mexico vs England FIFA World Cup Match?Yes 78.6% 12.72 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes 87% 11.49 shares
- Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Yes 48% 20.83 shares
- US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?Yes 71% 14.08 shares
- Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by July 31?Yes 72% 13.89 shares
- Will Jared Kushner attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?Yes 86% 11.63 shares
- Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes 57% 17.54 shares
- US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?Yes 65% 15.38 shares