No position
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 82.5%
- Current value
- $51.97
- Potential payout
- $63
- Potential profit
- $11.03
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- -$0.32
Polymarket Trader
245DFGOK
0x0ce91207c08e0bfc7626898c3de275994f5465f5
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $152.36
- Realized PnL
- -$18.15
- Win rate
- 62.5%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 16
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 58%
- Current value
- $33.64
- Potential payout
- $58
- Potential profit
- $24.36
- Multiplier
- 1.72x
- User PnL
- -$0.58
No position
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 90.8%
- Current value
- $35.39
- Potential payout
- $39
- Potential profit
- $3.61
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- -$0.02
Yes position
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 82.5%
- Current value
- $31.35
- Potential payout
- $38
- Potential profit
- $6.65
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- -$0.19
KT Rolster position
LoL: KT Rolster vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2
Ends May 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$4
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Thunder position
Spurs vs. Thunder
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.53
No position
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- User PnL
- $0.86
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 88.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $0.76
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $0.72
Bilibili Gaming position
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs
Ends Feb 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.53
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.41
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $0.34
No position
Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 81%
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- $0.13
No position
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $185 by end of February?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.06
No position
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $10,000 by end of February?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
Natus Vincere position
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.4%
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- -$0.03
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 23%
- Multiplier
- 4.36x
- User PnL
- -$0.1
No position
Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 94%
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- -$0.21
No position
Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- -$0.91
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1%
- Multiplier
- 105.26x
- User PnL
- -$22.26
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes 83% 38 shares
- Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?No 59% 58 shares
- 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseNo 83% 63 shares
- Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No 90.8% 39 shares
- Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch?No 80% 13.4 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No 94.2% 33 shares
- Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?No 95% 44 shares
- Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026?No 89% 91 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No 94.3% 33 shares
- Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026?No 90% 91 shares
- Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?No 95.5% 44 shares
- Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch?No 79% 13.4 shares