Polymarket Trader

polll11

0x0d012f370ae17ce6822dcf4f91a49cd150fa6248

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.01K
Realized PnL: $28.12
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 1
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 69%
Current value: $1.01K
Potential payout: $1.46K
Potential profit: $452.75
Multiplier: 1.45x
User PnL: $686.05

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Fogo FDV above $300M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.55

Yes position

Berachain airdrop in Q1 2025?

Ends Mar 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.59

No position

Will the price of Ethereum be less than $4100 on August 25?

Ends Aug 25, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.1

No position

Opinion FDV above $5B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.26

No position

Zama FDV above $4B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.46

Yes position

Will Opinion launch a token by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.36

No position

Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from October 17 to October 24, 2025?

Ends Oct 24, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.8

No position

Rainbow FDV above $200M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.34

No position

Will Trump post 80-89 times on Truth Feb 28 - March 7?

Ends Mar 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.14

No position

Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?

Ends Feb 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.12

No position

Will Elon tweet 450 or more times August 22–August 29?

Ends Aug 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.12

No position

Will Elon tweet 750 or more times Jan 31 - Feb 7?

Ends Feb 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.12

No position

Will Ethereum hit $5,000 by January 31, 2025?

Ends Jan 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.11

No position

Fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after January 2025 meeting?

Ends Jan 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.11

No position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from November 4 to November 11, 2025?

Ends Nov 11, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.11

No position

Will Trump’s approval rating be ≥45.5% on September 5?

Ends Sep 5, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.11

No position

Will Elon tweet 270 or more times July 4–11?

Ends Jul 11, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.11

No position

Will Elon tweet 210–239 times August 8–August 15?

Ends Aug 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.11

No position

Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from October 17 to October 24, 2025?

Ends Oct 24, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.1

No position

Will Elon tweet 295 or more times June 13–20?

Ends Jun 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.09

No position

Will Trump's 538 approval rating be between 47.0% and 47.4% on March 7?

Ends Mar 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.09

Yes position

Will MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin July 15-21?

Ends Jul 21, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.08

No position

Will Elon tweet 420–434 times August 22–August 29?

Ends Aug 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.08

No position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be 90°F or higher on July 21?

Ends Jul 21, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.06

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Opinion launch a token by December 31, 2026?

Yes 98.9% 123.24 shares
Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?

No 99.9% 121.88 shares
Zama FDV above $4B one day after launch?

No 98.8% 121.76 shares
Opinion FDV above $5B one day after launch?

No 98.9% 205.26 shares
Fogo FDV above $300M one day after launch?

Yes 92.9% 120.3 shares
Rainbow FDV above $200M one day after launch?

No 99.7% 111.75 shares
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from November 4 to November 11, 2025?

No 99.9% 111.41 shares
Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from October 17 to October 24, 2025?

No 98.7% 61.21 shares
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from October 17 to October 24, 2025?

No 99.8% 50.1 shares
Will Trump’s approval rating be ≥45.5% on September 5?

No 99.9% 110.41 shares
Will the price of Ethereum be less than $4100 on August 25?

No 99.9% 5,102.24 shares
Will Elon tweet 405–419 times August 22–August 29?

No 99.8% 20.04 shares