Polymarket Trader

twas

0x0d0a7afe014588f0fdfb5d9ac21657a8c38a2d46

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $224.37
Realized PnL: $1.52K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?

Ends Apr 30, 2027

Implied probability: 3.5%
Current value: $5.18
Potential payout: $150
Potential profit: $144.83
Multiplier: 28.99x
User PnL: -$7.32

Yes position

Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 2.5%
Current value: $3.68
Potential payout: $150
Potential profit: $146.33
Multiplier: 40.82x
User PnL: $1.03

Yes position

Will Morocco reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 71.5%
Current value: $107.24
Potential payout: $149.99
Potential profit: $42.75
Multiplier: 1.40x
User PnL: $4.25

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 36.1%
Current value: $36.05
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $63.95
Multiplier: 2.77x
User PnL: $19.45

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 8.6%
Current value: $8.55
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $91.45
Multiplier: 11.70x
User PnL: -$2.75

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 18.4%
Current value: $18.35
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $81.65
Multiplier: 5.45x
User PnL: $9.55

Yes position

Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$1.7

Yes position

9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 7.1%
Current value: $7.14
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $92.86
Multiplier: 14.01x
User PnL: -$2.86

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.4%
Current value: $5.35
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $94.65
Multiplier: 18.69x
User PnL: -$5.45

Yes position

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$5.2

Yes position

Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 2.8%
Current value: $2.75
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $97.25
Multiplier: 36.36x
User PnL: $0.65

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 10.1%
Current value: $10.05
Potential payout: $99.99
Potential profit: $89.94
Multiplier: 9.95x
User PnL: -$7.25

Over position

Germany vs. Paraguay: Germany O/U 1.5

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $99.99
Potential profit: $99.99
User PnL: -$67.99

Yes position

Will Egypt win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $62.41
Potential profit: $62.41
User PnL: -$9.99

Yes position

Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $61
Potential profit: $61
User PnL: -$6.73

Yes position

Will the 2026 FIFA World Cup champion be a nation from Group J?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 18.5%
Current value: $11.08
Potential payout: $59.9
Potential profit: $48.82
Multiplier: 5.41x
User PnL: $2.7

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $55
Potential profit: $55
User PnL: -$5.61

Yes position

Will the 2026 FIFA World Cup champion be a nation from Group L?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 8.5%
Current value: $4.51
Potential payout: $53.06
Potential profit: $48.55
Multiplier: 11.76x
User PnL: -$2.92

Germany position

Spread: Germany (-1.5)

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$11

Yes position

Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 2.3%
Current value: $1.13
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $48.88
Multiplier: 44.44x
User PnL: -$0.13

Yes position

Will Solana dip to $60 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$4.85

Yes position

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 6.7%
Current value: $3.32
Potential payout: $49.99
Potential profit: $46.67
Multiplier: 15.04x
User PnL: -$0.92

No position

Will Norway reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $44.4
Potential profit: $44.4
User PnL: -$21.76

Yes position

Will Croatia be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $35.03
Potential profit: $35.03
User PnL: -$5.6

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will the government shutdown end November 12?

Ends Nov 21, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $209.77

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $142

Yes position

Will the government shutdown end November 13?

Ends Nov 21, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $134.38

Spurs position

Thunder vs. Spurs

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $120

No position

Lighter Airdrop on December 29?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $90

Under position

Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Canada O/U 1.5

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $89

Yes position

Lighter Airdrop on December 30?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $85.44

No position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $72

Yes position

Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $63.34

Yes position

Will Cerebras' market cap be at least $50B at market close on IPO day?

Ends May 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $60.93

Yes position

Will Mikie Sherrill win the New Jersey Governor Election in 2025

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $47.5

Yes position

Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $45.55

Yes position

Will Spain vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $39

Yes position

US forces enter Iran by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $37

No position

Will Germany reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34.7

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34

Knicks position

Knicks vs. Spurs

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.5

Yes position

Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 30?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31

Yes position

Will Egypt advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28

Yes position

Will Belgium vs. Egypt end in a draw?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28

No position

Over $400M committed to the Monad public sale?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28

Yes position

Will the Government shutdown end November 12-15?

Ends Nov 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.68

Yes position

Will SpaceX’s opening share price on its first day of trading be between $150 and $200?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.05

No position

US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

France vs. Sweden: Both Teams to Score

Yes 57% 20 shares
Exact Score: Mexico 1 - 0 Ecuador? AND Exact Score: France 3 - 1 Sweden?

2.2% 220.45 shares
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?

Yes 28% 5 shares
Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goals AND Erling Haaland: 1+ goals

23.8% 8.2 shares
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: Team to Advance AND Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: Both Teams to Score AND Will Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway end in a draw? AND Will France win on 2026-06-30?

14.5% 33.59 shares
Will Morocco reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 69% 28.93 shares
Will Morocco reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 68% 49.99 shares
Netherlands vs. Morocco: Team to Advance

Netherlands 35% 100 shares
Netherlands vs. Morocco: Team to Advance

Netherlands 60% 100 shares
Netherlands vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5

Under 80% 6.25 shares
Netherlands vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5

Under 74% 6.76 shares
Netherlands vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score

Yes 57% 8.77 shares