Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Current value
- $14K
- Potential payout
- $111.97K
- Potential profit
- $97.98K
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- -$12.48K
Polymarket Trader
e88888
0x0d15e2724df455f9e65b15104d21d76412a2c454
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $317.33K
- Realized PnL
- $239.24K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $69.15K
- Potential payout
- $76.41K
- Potential profit
- $7.26K
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $7.66K
No position
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.4%
- Current value
- $54.82K
- Potential payout
- $60.01K
- Potential profit
- $5.19K
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $3.26K
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $48.42K
- Potential payout
- $48.54K
- Potential profit
- $121.34
- User PnL
- $5.13K
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $25.85K
- Potential payout
- $25.86K
- Potential profit
- $12.93
- User PnL
- $817.27
No position
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.2%
- Current value
- $23.77K
- Potential payout
- $25.24K
- Potential profit
- $1.48K
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $2.29K
Yes position
Fed rate hike in 2026?
Ends Dec 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 59%
- Current value
- $11.51K
- Potential payout
- $19.51K
- Potential profit
- $8K
- Multiplier
- 1.69x
- User PnL
- $7.64K
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $14.48K
- Potential payout
- $16K
- Potential profit
- $1.52K
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $1.38K
No position
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.8%
- Current value
- $9.58K
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $420
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $440
No position
SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 81.5%
- Current value
- $7.03K
- Potential payout
- $8.62K
- Potential profit
- $1.6K
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- $215.75
No position
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- Current value
- $7.98K
- Potential payout
- $8K
- Potential profit
- $28.02
- User PnL
- $2.53K
No position
Cuban regime falls in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.5%
- Current value
- $4.6K
- Potential payout
- $5.51K
- Potential profit
- $908.58
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $733.93
No position
Will Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98%
- Current value
- $4.9K
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $100
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $2.9K
No position
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86%
- Current value
- $4.3K
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $700
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $550
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 78.5%
- Current value
- $3.84K
- Potential payout
- $4.9K
- Potential profit
- $1.05K
- Multiplier
- 1.27x
- User PnL
- $171.34
No position
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 76.5%
- Current value
- $3.51K
- Potential payout
- $4.58K
- Potential profit
- $1.08K
- Multiplier
- 1.31x
- User PnL
- $22.92
No position
Will Oman join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $2.71K
- Potential payout
- $3K
- Potential profit
- $285
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $165
No position
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 42%
- Current value
- $987.01
- Potential payout
- $2.35K
- Potential profit
- $1.36K
- Multiplier
- 2.38x
- User PnL
- $27.27
No position
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 47.5%
- Current value
- $950
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $1.05K
- Multiplier
- 2.11x
- User PnL
- -$570
Yes position
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 81.5%
- Current value
- $1.18K
- Potential payout
- $1.45K
- Potential profit
- $267.6
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- $50.45
No position
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86%
- Current value
- $1.04K
- Potential payout
- $1.21K
- Potential profit
- $169.21
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $72.52
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $999.5
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $0.5
- User PnL
- $559.5
No position
Will GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.7%
- Current value
- $848.91
- Potential payout
- $887.51
- Potential profit
- $38.61
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $227.65
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $883.56
- Potential payout
- $884
- Potential profit
- $0.44
- User PnL
- $362
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.39K
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.45K
No position
Will Qatar strike Iran by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.43K
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.93K
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.15K
No position
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.89K
No position
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.82K
No position
Will UAE strike Iran by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.18K
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.78K
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.24K
No position
US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.11K
Yes position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.58K
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.24K
No position
Will a Gulf State strike Iran by March 7?
Ends Mar 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.25K
No position
US strikes Iran by February 21, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.78K
No position
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.75K
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.31K
No position
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.41K
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.59K
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.24K
No position
US strikes Iran by January 11, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.75K
No position
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of January?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.45K
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.15K
No position
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.36K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?Yes 96.8% 25,859.84 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 82% 1,016.1 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Yes 59% 884 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 84% 1,230.42 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 78.3% 2,393.86 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 76.2% 5,000 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 76.7% 5,000 shares
- Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 92.1% 14.38 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 84.1% 19,545.77 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 84.6% 10,000 shares
- Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?No 5.1% 20,299 shares
- Will Claude 5 be released by June 12, 2026?No 19.8% 534.41 shares